Date: 2026-04-04
Consensus probability analysis for AZ Alkmaar v Fortuna Sittard across Head to Head markets. Best expected value: +8.22% on Fortuna Sittard (Visit). Arbitrage opportunity detected in Head to Head.
| Option | Best Odds | Consensus | Growth | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AZ Alkmaar (Local) | 1.41 | +69.67% | +0.000% | -1.76% |
| Fortuna Sittard (Visit) | 8.70 | +12.44% | +0.088% | +8.22% |
| Draw | 5.70 | +17.76% | +0.003% | +1.20% |
Arbitrage opportunity detected: best margin +0.040% (6 combinations).
| Outcome | Bookmaker | Odds | Allocation |
|---|---|---|---|
| AZ Alkmaar (Local) | Unibet (NL) | 1.41 | 71.0% |
| Fortuna Sittard (Visit) | NordicBet | 8.70 | 11.5% |
| Draw | Tipico (DE) | 5.70 | 17.6% |