Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Novak Djokovic v Daniil Medvedev

Início: 2026-10-05 11:19 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Novak Djokovic (Local)

Previsão 44.78%2.23odd justa
EV -0.596%
Vantagem -0.268%
Kelly -0.488%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.22

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.15%44.91%44.74%47.40%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.952.102.102.2251.28%47.73%47.62%45.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Daniil Medvedev (Visitante)

Previsão 55.22%1.81odd justa
EV +0.506%
Vantagem +0.278%
Kelly +0.617%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.82

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.60%55.09%55.26%56.85%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.641.721.731.8260.98%58.21%57.80%54.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Novak Djokovic (Local): 44.78%; Daniil Medvedev (Visitante): 55.22%. Para Daniil Medvedev (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.81. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 1.82, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.506%.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -9.55%E -4.73%K -9.36%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV +0.506%E +0.278%K +0.617%G +0.003%4.5%2026-10-05 10:58
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.45%E -5.22%K -10.45%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.598%E -0.332%K -0.748%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-05 11:14
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.25%E -1.27%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-05 11:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -9.55%E -4.73%K -9.36%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -3.36%E -1.92%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-05 10:00
Neds🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -9.55%E -4.73%K -9.36%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -3.36%E -1.92%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-05 10:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -12.69%E -6.51%K -13.35%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -3.36%E -1.92%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-05 08:15
Pinnacle🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -0.596%E -0.268%K -0.488%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.91%E -2.25%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.5%2026-10-05 11:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.73%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.91%E -2.25%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-05 08:15
DraftKings🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.07%E -2.39%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.91%E -2.25%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-05 11:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.91%E -2.25%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-05 10:50
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.21%E -4.00%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.91%E -2.25%K -5.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-05 10:00
ReBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.07%E -2.39%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-05 10:05
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-05 10:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-05 10:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-05 10:50
TABtouch🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-05 10:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-05 10:50
BetRivers🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-05 10:50
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-05 10:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-05 10:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-05 10:50
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-05 10:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-05 10:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-05 09:59
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-05 10:50
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-05 08:16
Bally Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-05 10:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-05 07:16
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-05 11:10
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-05 10:00
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.45%E -5.22%K -10.45%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-05 10:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.45%E -5.22%K -10.45%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-05 10:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.39%E -1.09%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-05 11:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.39%E -1.09%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-05 11:01
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.73%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-05 11:01
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.73%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-05 11:10
GTbets🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.18%E -1.95%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-05 08:16
FanDuel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.18%E -1.95%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-05 11:10
PlayUp🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-05 11:05
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-05 11:10
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.73%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.57%E -3.26%K -7.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-05 11:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.57%E -3.26%K -7.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-05 11:05
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.57%E -3.26%K -7.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-05 10:56
Coolbet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.73%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.12%E -3.60%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-05 11:13
Betsson🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.12%E -3.60%K -8.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-05 11:00
NordicBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.12%E -3.60%K -8.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-05 11:01
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.12%E -3.60%K -8.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-05 11:00
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.21%E -4.00%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.12%E -3.60%K -8.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-05 11:05
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.21%E -4.00%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.12%E -3.60%K -8.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-05 11:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.21%E -4.00%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.12%E -3.60%K -8.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-05 11:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.21%E -4.00%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.12%E -3.60%K -8.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-05 11:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.73%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.67%E -3.95%K -9.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-05 02:30
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80%EV -10.45%E -5.22%K -10.45%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -6.67%E -3.95%K -9.67%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-05 11:14
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.49%E -0.678%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.78%E -4.66%K -11.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-05 10:46
Caesars🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.49%E -0.678%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.78%E -4.66%K -11.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-05 04:11
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.78%E -4.66%K -11.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-05 11:11
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.78%E -4.66%K -11.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-05 01:59
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.78%E -4.66%K -11.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-05 06:30
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.78%E -4.66%K -11.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-05 01:59
PMU (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.11%EV -9.55%E -4.73%K -9.36%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.89%EV -8.33%E -5.02%K -12.62%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-05 10:50
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.73%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.88%E -5.38%K -13.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-05 11:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.30%EV -11.34%E -5.73%K -11.57%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 54.70%EV -9.43%E -5.75%K -14.74%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-05 11:02
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%0.4%2026-10-05 11:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%0.4%2026-10-05 11:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-10-05 11:15
Matchbook◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%0.9%2026-10-05 11:15
ProphetX◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.35%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.65%1.3%2026-10-05 11:15