Lingua:Italiano
Novak Djokovic v Daniil Medvedev
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Novak Djokovic (Casa)
Previsione 44.78%2.23quota equa
EV -0.596%
Vantaggio -0.268%
Kelly -0.488%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.22
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.15%44.91%44.74%47.40%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.952.102.102.2251.28%47.73%47.62%45.05%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Daniil Medvedev (Trasferta)
Previsione 55.22%1.81quota equa
EV +0.506%
Vantaggio +0.278%
Kelly +0.617%
Crescita +0.003%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.82
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.60%55.09%55.26%56.85%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.641.721.731.8260.98%58.21%57.80%54.95%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Novak Djokovic (Casa): 44.78%; Daniil Medvedev (Trasferta): 55.22%. Per Daniil Medvedev (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 1.81. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 1.82, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.506%.
Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -9.55%E -4.73%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV +0.506%E +0.278%K +0.617%G +0.003% | 4.5% | 2026-10-05 10:58 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.45%E -5.22%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.598%E -0.332%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-05 11:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.25%E -1.27%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-05 11:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -9.55%E -4.73%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -3.36%E -1.92%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-05 10:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -9.55%E -4.73%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -3.36%E -1.92%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-05 10:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -12.69%E -6.51%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -3.36%E -1.92%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-05 08:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -0.596%E -0.268%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.91%E -2.25%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-10-05 11:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.73%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.91%E -2.25%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-05 08:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.07%E -2.39%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.91%E -2.25%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-05 11:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.91%E -2.25%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 10:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.21%E -4.00%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.91%E -2.25%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-05 10:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.07%E -2.39%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-05 10:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-05 10:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-05 10:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-05 10:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-05 10:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-05 10:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-05 10:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-05 10:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-05 10:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-05 10:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-05 10:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-05 10:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-05 09:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-05 10:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-05 08:16 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-05 10:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-05 07:16 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-05 11:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-05 10:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.45%E -5.22%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-05 10:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.45%E -5.22%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-05 10:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.39%E -1.09%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-05 11:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.39%E -1.09%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-05 11:01 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.73%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-05 11:01 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.73%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-05 11:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.18%E -1.95%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-05 08:16 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.18%E -1.95%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-05 11:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-05 11:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-05 11:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.73%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.57%E -3.26%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-05 11:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.57%E -3.26%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-05 11:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.57%E -3.26%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-05 10:56 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.73%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.12%E -3.60%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-05 11:13 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.12%E -3.60%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-05 11:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.12%E -3.60%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-05 11:01 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.12%E -3.60%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-05 11:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.21%E -4.00%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.12%E -3.60%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-05 11:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.21%E -4.00%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.12%E -3.60%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-05 11:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.21%E -4.00%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.12%E -3.60%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-05 11:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.21%E -4.00%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.12%E -3.60%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-05 11:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.73%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.67%E -3.95%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-05 02:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80%EV -10.45%E -5.22%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -6.67%E -3.95%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-05 11:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.49%E -0.678%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.78%E -4.66%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-05 10:46 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.49%E -0.678%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.78%E -4.66%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-05 04:11 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.78%E -4.66%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-05 11:11 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.78%E -4.66%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-05 01:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.78%E -4.66%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-05 06:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.78%E -4.66%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-05 01:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.11%EV -9.55%E -4.73%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.89%EV -8.33%E -5.02%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-05 10:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.73%E -1.73%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.88%E -5.38%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-05 11:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.30%EV -11.34%E -5.73%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.70%EV -9.43%E -5.75%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-05 11:02 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00% | 0.4% | 2026-10-05 11:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00% | 0.4% | 2026-10-05 11:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 0.6% | 2026-10-05 11:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27% | 0.9% | 2026-10-05 11:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.35% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.65% | 1.3% | 2026-10-05 11:15 |