语言:简体中文
South Africa v Australia
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
South Africa (主队)
预测 15.47%6.46公平赔率
EV +8.28%
优势 +1.18%
Kelly +1.38%
增长率 +0.114%
假设最高赔率为 7.00
博彩公司预测分布
13.19%15.47%14.85%17.91%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.256.506.507.0019.05%15.38%15.38%14.29%最小值均值中位数最大值
Australia (客队)
预测 36.39%2.75公平赔率
EV -1.74%
优势 -0.644%
Kelly -1.02%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.70
博彩公司预测分布
34.59%36.39%35.64%38.37%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.452.582.552.7040.82%38.82%39.22%37.04%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 48.14%2.08公平赔率
EV +3.50%
优势 +1.63%
Kelly +3.04%
增长率 +0.106%
假设最高赔率为 2.15
博彩公司预测分布
43.72%48.14%49.50%51.30%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.801.901.912.1555.56%52.68%52.36%46.51%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：South Africa (主队)：15.47%；Australia (客队)：36.39%；平局：48.14%。 对于“South Africa (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.46。 当时有14家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为7.00，对应+8.28%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (18 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.19%EV +8.28%E +1.18%K +1.38%G +0.114% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.30%EV -13.35%E -7.42%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-19 07:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.00%EV +4.42%E +0.654%K +0.768%G +0.034% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.05%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.95%EV -7.09%E -3.68%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-19 07:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.00%EV +4.42%E +0.654%K +0.768%G +0.034% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.05%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.95%EV -7.09%E -3.68%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-19 07:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.00%EV +4.42%E +0.654%K +0.768%G +0.034% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.05%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.95%EV -7.09%E -3.68%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-19 07:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.00%EV +4.42%E +0.654%K +0.768%G +0.034% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.05%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.95%EV -7.09%E -3.68%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-19 07:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.00%EV +4.42%E +0.654%K +0.768%G +0.034% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.05%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.95%EV -7.09%E -3.68%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-19 07:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.00%EV +4.42%E +0.654%K +0.768%G +0.034% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.05%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.95%EV -7.09%E -3.68%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-19 07:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV +4.42%E +0.654%K +0.768%G +0.034% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -4.65%E -1.77%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -13.35%E -7.42%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-19 07:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV +0.548%E +0.084%K +0.100%G +0.001% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.85%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.69%EV -7.09%E -3.68%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-19 07:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV +0.548%E +0.084%K +0.100%G +0.001% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.43%EV -8.54%E -4.49%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-19 07:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.42%EV +0.548%E +0.084%K +0.100%G +0.001% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.82%EV -7.57%E -3.95%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-19 07:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +0.548%E +0.084%K +0.100%G +0.001% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.59%EV -1.74%E -0.644%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.04%EV -11.91%E -6.51%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-19 07:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +0.548%E +0.084%K +0.100%G +0.001% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.59%EV -1.74%E -0.644%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.04%EV -11.91%E -6.51%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-19 07:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.21%EV +0.548%E +0.084%K +0.100%G +0.001% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.86%EV -9.02%E -4.77%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-19 07:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -3.32%E -0.531%K -0.632%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.20%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.88%EV -9.98%E -5.34%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-19 07:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -3.32%E -0.531%K -0.632%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.20%EV -3.56%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.88%EV -9.98%E -5.34%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-19 07:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.85%EV -7.19%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.50%EV -13.35%E -7.42%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-10-19 07:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -18.79%E -3.58%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.37%EV -10.84%E -4.42%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV +3.50%E +1.63%K +3.04%G +0.106% | 6.4% | 2026-10-19 07:35 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.38% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.86% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.76% | 1.0% | 2026-10-19 07:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.38% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.86% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.76% | 1.0% | 2026-10-19 07:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.38% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.86% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.76% | 1.0% | 2026-10-19 07:55 |