Date: 2026-03-17
Consensus probability analysis for Manchester City v Real Madrid across Head to Head markets. Best expected value: +6.81% on Draw. Arbitrage opportunity detected in Head to Head.
| Option | Best Odds | Consensus | Growth | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City (Local) | 1.55 | +63.84% | +0.000% | -1.05% |
| Real Madrid (Visit) | 5.60 | +17.97% | +0.001% | +0.611% |
| Draw | 6.00 | +17.80% | +0.093% | +6.81% |
Arbitrage opportunity detected: best margin +0.969% (191 combinations).
| Outcome | Bookmaker | Odds | Allocation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City (Local) | Betr (AU) | 1.55 | 65.1% |
| Real Madrid (Visit) | Codere (IT) | 5.60 | 18.0% |
| Draw | LowVig.ag | 6.00 | 16.8% |