Date: 2026-04-22
Consensus probability analysis for Burnley v Manchester City across Head to Head markets. Best expected value: +18.15% on Burnley (Local). Arbitrage opportunity detected in Head to Head.
| Option | Best Odds | Consensus | Growth | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley (Local) | 14.00 | +8.44% | +0.253% | +18.15% |
| Manchester City (Visit) | 1.28 | +76.50% | +0.000% | -2.08% |
| Draw | 7.00 | +14.69% | +0.013% | +2.82% |
Arbitrage opportunity detected: best margin +0.448% (68 combinations).
| Outcome | Bookmaker | Odds | Allocation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley (Local) | LeoVegas (SE) | 14.00 | 7.2% |
| Manchester City (Visit) | BetOnline.ag | 1.28 | 78.5% |
| Draw | Unibet (NL) | 7.00 | 14.3% |