Date: 2026-04-04
Consensus probability analysis for Manchester City v Liverpool across Head to Head markets. Best expected value: +1.87% on Manchester City (Local). Arbitrage opportunity detected in Head to Head.
| Option | Best Odds | Consensus | Growth | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City (Local) | 2.02 | +50.43% | +0.034% | +1.87% |
| Liverpool (Visit) | 4.10 | +24.82% | +0.010% | +1.78% |
| Draw | 4.03 | +24.24% | +0.000% | -2.29% |
Arbitrage opportunity detected: best margin +1.31% (64 combinations).
| Outcome | Bookmaker | Odds | Allocation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City (Local) | ATG (SE) | 2.02 | 50.2% |
| Liverpool (Visit) | Marathon Bet | 4.10 | 24.7% |
| Draw | Pinnacle | 4.03 | 25.1% |