Date: 2026-05-03
Consensus probability analysis for New York City FC v D.C. United across Head to Head markets. Best expected value: +3.40% on D.C. United (Visit). Arbitrage opportunity detected in Head to Head.
| Option | Best Odds | Consensus | Growth | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York City FC (Local) | 1.71 | +58.17% | +0.000% | -0.533% |
| D.C. United (Visit) | 5.92 | +17.47% | +0.023% | +3.40% |
| Draw | 4.08 | +24.10% | +0.000% | -1.66% |
Arbitrage opportunity detected: best margin +0.119% (4 combinations).
| Outcome | Bookmaker | Odds | Allocation |
|---|---|---|---|
| New York City FC (Local) | LeoVegas (SE) | 1.71 | 58.5% |
| D.C. United (Visit) | 1xBet | 5.92 | 16.9% |
| Draw | 1xBet | 4.08 | 24.5% |