Date: 2026-05-16
Consensus probability analysis for Chelsea v Manchester City across Head to Head markets. Best expected value: +5.21% on Chelsea (Local). Arbitrage opportunity detected in Head to Head.
| Option | Best Odds | Consensus | Growth | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea (Local) | 4.91 | +21.43% | +0.070% | +5.21% |
| Manchester City (Visit) | 1.80 | +54.11% | +0.000% | -2.60% |
| Draw | 4.20 | +24.24% | +0.010% | +1.82% |
Arbitrage opportunity detected: best margin +0.269% (6 combinations).
| Outcome | Bookmaker | Odds | Allocation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea (Local) | 1xBet | 4.91 | 20.4% |
| Manchester City (Visit) | Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80 | 55.7% |
| Draw | Unibet (FR) | 4.20 | 23.9% |