Date: 2026-05-16
Consensus probability analysis for Chelsea v Manchester City across Head to Head markets. Best expected value: +8.17% on Chelsea (Local). Arbitrage opportunity detected in Head to Head.
| Option | Best Odds | Consensus | Growth | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea (Local) | 4.80 | +22.54% | +0.176% | +8.17% |
| Manchester City (Visit) | 1.86 | +52.05% | +0.000% | -3.19% |
| Draw | 4.00 | +25.30% | +0.005% | +1.18% |
Arbitrage opportunity detected: best margin +0.405% (20 combinations).
| Outcome | Bookmaker | Odds | Allocation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea (Local) | Svenska Spel | 4.80 | 20.9% |
| Manchester City (Visit) | 1xBet | 1.86 | 54.0% |
| Draw | 1xBet | 4.00 | 25.1% |