Date: 2026-05-24
Consensus probability analysis for Manchester City v Aston Villa across Head to Head markets. Best expected value: +15.32% on Aston Villa (Visit). Arbitrage opportunity detected in Head to Head.
| Option | Best Odds | Consensus | Growth | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City (Local) | 1.44 | +68.18% | +0.000% | -1.82% |
| Aston Villa (Visit) | 8.50 | +13.57% | +0.313% | +15.32% |
| Draw | 5.57 | +18.01% | +0.000% | +0.298% |
Arbitrage opportunity detected: best margin +0.845% (3 combinations).
| Outcome | Bookmaker | Odds | Allocation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City (Local) | 1xBet | 1.44 | 70.0% |
| Aston Villa (Visit) | Unibet (UK) | 8.50 | 11.9% |
| Draw | 1xBet | 5.57 | 18.1% |