Date: 2026-03-15
Consensus probability analysis for Nacional v Estoril across Head to Head markets. Best expected value: +2.51% on Draw. Arbitrage opportunity detected in Head to Head.
| Option | Best Odds | Consensus | Growth | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional (Local) | 2.56 | +38.62% | +0.000% | -1.13% |
| Estoril (Visit) | 2.95 | +34.16% | +0.003% | +0.770% |
| Draw | 3.80 | +26.98% | +0.023% | +2.51% |
Arbitrage opportunity detected: best margin +0.729% (14 combinations).
| Outcome | Bookmaker | Odds | Allocation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional (Local) | BetOnline.ag | 2.56 | 39.3% |
| Estoril (Visit) | BetOnline.ag | 2.95 | 34.1% |
| Draw | Sky Bet | 3.80 | 26.5% |