Date: 2026-04-10
Consensus probability analysis for Fortuna Düsseldorf v Holstein Kiel across Head to Head markets. Best expected value: +14.29% on Holstein Kiel (Visit). Arbitrage opportunity detected in Head to Head.
| Option | Best Odds | Consensus | Growth | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Düsseldorf (Local) | 2.30 | +42.26% | +0.000% | -2.81% |
| Holstein Kiel (Visit) | 3.70 | +30.89% | +0.757% | +14.29% |
| Draw | 4.00 | +25.38% | +0.008% | +1.53% |
Arbitrage opportunity detected: best margin +4.71% (212 combinations).
| Outcome | Bookmaker | Odds | Allocation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Düsseldorf (Local) | Coolbet | 2.30 | 45.5% |
| Holstein Kiel (Visit) | Tipico (DE) | 3.70 | 28.3% |
| Draw | Tipico (DE) | 4.00 | 26.2% |