Date: 2026-05-02
Consensus probability analysis for Tim Elliott v Stephen Erceg across Head to Head markets. Best expected value: +12.55% on Tim Elliott (Local). Arbitrage opportunity detected in Head to Head.
| Option | Best Odds | Consensus | Growth | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Elliott (Local) | 3.10 | +36.31% | +0.750% | +12.55% |
| Stephen Erceg (Visit) | 1.58 | +63.38% | +0.000% | +0.146% |
Arbitrage opportunity detected: best margin +4.66% (36 combinations).
| Outcome | Bookmaker | Odds | Allocation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Elliott (Local) | Betway | 3.10 | 33.8% |
| Stephen Erceg (Visit) | BetOnline.ag | 1.58 | 66.2% |