Date: 2026-04-13
Consensus probability analysis for Thanongsak Simsri v Sergio Mendoza across Head to Head markets. Best expected value: +5.11% on Thanongsak Simsri (Local). Arbitrage opportunity detected in Head to Head.
| Option | Best Odds | Consensus | Growth | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thanongsak Simsri (Local) | 3.80 | +27.66% | +0.093% | +5.11% |
| Sergio Mendoza (Visit) | 1.37 | +72.14% | +0.000% | -1.16% |
Arbitrage opportunity detected: best margin +0.696% (2 combinations).
| Outcome | Bookmaker | Odds | Allocation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thanongsak Simsri (Local) | FanDuel | 3.80 | 26.5% |
| Sergio Mendoza (Visit) | LowVig.ag | 1.37 | 73.5% |