Date: 2026-05-13
Consensus probability analysis for Manchester City v Crystal Palace across Head to Head markets. Best expected value: +19.52% on Crystal Palace (Visit). Arbitrage opportunity detected in Head to Head.
| Option | Best Odds | Consensus | Growth | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City (Local) | 1.24 | +79.25% | +0.000% | -1.73% |
| Crystal Palace (Visit) | 15.50 | +7.71% | +0.263% | +19.52% |
| Draw | 8.50 | +12.70% | +0.084% | +7.94% |
Arbitrage opportunity detected: best margin +1.15% (33 combinations).
| Outcome | Bookmaker | Odds | Allocation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City (Local) | 1xBet | 1.24 | 81.6% |
| Crystal Palace (Visit) | Betsson | 15.50 | 6.5% |
| Draw | Unibet (FR) | 8.50 | 11.9% |