Date: 2026-04-09
Consensus probability analysis for Shakhtar Donetsk v AZ Alkmaar across Head to Head markets. Best expected value: +3.17% on AZ Alkmaar (Visit). Arbitrage opportunity detected in Head to Head.
| Option | Best Odds | Consensus | Growth | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shakhtar Donetsk (Local) | 2.60 | +37.50% | +0.000% | -2.50% |
| AZ Alkmaar (Visit) | 3.00 | +34.39% | +0.050% | +3.17% |
| Draw | 3.60 | +27.65% | +0.000% | -0.445% |
Arbitrage opportunity detected: best margin +0.429% (22 combinations).
| Outcome | Bookmaker | Odds | Allocation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shakhtar Donetsk (Local) | 1xBet | 2.60 | 38.6% |
| AZ Alkmaar (Visit) | Unibet (NL) | 3.00 | 33.5% |
| Draw | SportsBet | 3.60 | 27.9% |