Date: 2026-04-16
Consensus probability analysis for Aston Villa v Bologna across Head to Head markets. Best expected value: +2.97% on Bologna (Visit). Arbitrage opportunity detected in Head to Head.
| Option | Best Odds | Consensus | Growth | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa (Local) | 1.73 | +56.84% | +0.000% | -1.67% |
| Bologna (Visit) | 5.28 | +19.50% | +0.021% | +2.97% |
| Draw | 4.30 | +23.57% | +0.006% | +1.35% |
Arbitrage opportunity detected: best margin +0.001% (3 combinations).
| Outcome | Bookmaker | Odds | Allocation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa (Local) | Unibet (SE) | 1.73 | 57.8% |
| Bologna (Visit) | 1xBet | 5.28 | 18.9% |
| Draw | FanDuel | 4.30 | 23.3% |