Date: 2026-05-03
Consensus probability analysis for Austin FC v St. Louis City SC across Head to Head markets. Best expected value: +4.49% on Austin FC (Local). Arbitrage opportunity detected in Head to Head.
| Option | Best Odds | Consensus | Growth | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin FC (Local) | 2.60 | +40.19% | +0.126% | +4.49% |
| St. Louis City SC (Visit) | 3.10 | +31.75% | +0.000% | -1.58% |
| Draw | 3.58 | +27.13% | +0.000% | -2.86% |
Arbitrage opportunity detected: best margin +1.37% (116 combinations).
| Outcome | Bookmaker | Odds | Allocation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Austin FC (Local) | LeoVegas (SE) | 2.60 | 39.0% |
| St. Louis City SC (Visit) | MyBookie.ag | 3.10 | 32.7% |
| Draw | 1xBet | 3.58 | 28.3% |