The School of Odds

Alex Michelsen v Jacob Fearnley

Date: 2026-06-30

Consensus probability analysis for Alex Michelsen v Jacob Fearnley across Head to Head markets. Best expected value: +2.67% on Jacob Fearnley (Visit). Arbitrage opportunity detected in Head to Head.

Head to Head (18 books)

Option Best Odds Consensus Growth EV
Alex Michelsen (Local) 1.85 +53.84% +0.000% -0.394%
Jacob Fearnley (Visit) 2.23 +46.04% +0.058% +2.67%
Arbitrage opportunity detected: best margin +1.12% (5 combinations).
Outcome Bookmaker Odds Allocation
Alex Michelsen (Local) Pinnacle 1.85 54.7%
Jacob Fearnley (Visit) 1xBet 2.23 45.3%