Date: 2026-04-09
Consensus probability analysis for Bologna v Aston Villa across Head to Head markets. Best expected value: +3.16% on Aston Villa (Visit). Arbitrage opportunity detected in Head to Head.
| Option | Best Odds | Consensus | Growth | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bologna (Local) | 3.27 | +30.54% | +0.000% | -0.119% |
| Aston Villa (Visit) | 2.55 | +40.45% | +0.064% | +3.16% |
| Draw | 3.40 | +28.84% | +0.000% | -1.94% |
Arbitrage opportunity detected: best margin +0.798% (140 combinations).
| Outcome | Bookmaker | Odds | Allocation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bologna (Local) | 1xBet | 3.27 | 30.8% |
| Aston Villa (Visit) | Unibet (SE) | 2.55 | 39.5% |
| Draw | FanDuel | 3.40 | 29.6% |