Date: 2026-03-20
Consensus probability analysis for Heracles Almelo v Excelsior across Head to Head markets. Best expected value: +3.31% on Draw. Arbitrage opportunity detected in Head to Head.
| Option | Best Odds | Consensus | Growth | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heracles Almelo (Local) | 2.61 | +38.62% | +0.004% | +0.809% |
| Excelsior (Visit) | 3.02 | +32.53% | +0.000% | -1.76% |
| Draw | 3.65 | +28.31% | +0.041% | +3.31% |
Arbitrage opportunity detected: best margin +1.19% (77 combinations).
| Outcome | Bookmaker | Odds | Allocation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Heracles Almelo (Local) | Pinnacle | 2.61 | 38.8% |
| Excelsior (Visit) | Pinnacle | 3.02 | 33.5% |
| Draw | Unibet (NL) | 3.65 | 27.7% |