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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Sunrisers Leeds v London Spirit

开赛时间： 2026-08-04 13:57 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

17 家博彩公司 (5 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Sunrisers Leeds (主队)

预测 58.80%1.70公平赔率
EV -1.81%
优势 -1.08%
Kelly -2.70%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.67

博彩公司预测分布
55.82%58.49%58.97%60.25%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.571.601.601.6763.69%62.66%62.50%59.88%最小值均值中位数最大值

London Spirit (客队)

预测 41.20%2.43公平赔率
EV -1.94%
优势 -0.814%
Kelly -1.40%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.38

博彩公司预测分布
39.75%41.51%41.03%44.18%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.112.302.302.3847.39%43.52%43.48%42.02%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Sunrisers Leeds (主队)：58.80%；London Spirit (客队)：41.20%。 对于“Sunrisers Leeds (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.70。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为1.67，期望值为-1.81%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (17 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.82%EV -1.81%E -1.08%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.18%EV -13.06%E -6.19%K -11.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-04 13:35
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.75%E -2.93%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.29%E -3.24%K -5.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 13:34
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.34%E -3.32%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.29%E -3.24%K -5.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-04 13:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.34%E -3.32%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.29%E -3.24%K -5.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-04 13:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.93%E -3.70%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.23%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 13:50
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.93%E -3.70%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.23%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 13:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.93%E -3.70%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.23%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 13:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.93%E -3.70%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.23%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 13:55
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.93%E -3.70%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.23%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 13:55
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.93%E -3.70%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.29%E -3.24%K -5.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 13:53
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.93%E -3.70%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.29%E -3.24%K -5.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 13:53
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.69%E -4.90%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.94%E -0.814%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 13:49
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.69%E -4.90%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.94%E -0.814%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 13:54
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.69%E -4.90%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.94%E -0.814%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 13:49
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.69%E -4.90%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.94%E -0.814%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 13:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.69%E -4.90%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.94%E -0.814%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 13:50
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.69%E -4.90%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.23%E -2.28%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 13:49
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-08-04 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-08-04 13:50
Smarkets◎1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%1.6%2026-08-04 13:55