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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Welsh Fire v Trent Rockets

开赛时间： 2026-07-29 14:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

36 家博彩公司 (12 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Welsh Fire (主队)

预测 42.29%2.36公平赔率
EV +1.51%
优势 +0.628%
Kelly +1.08%
增长率 +0.016%

假设最高赔率为 2.40

博彩公司预测分布
39.55%42.77%42.31%47.58%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.952.252.252.4051.28%44.46%44.44%41.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

Trent Rockets (客队)

预测 57.71%1.73公平赔率
EV +2.14%
优势 +1.21%
Kelly +2.78%
增长率 +0.059%

假设最高赔率为 1.77

博彩公司预测分布
52.42%57.23%57.69%60.45%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.571.631.621.7763.69%61.49%61.73%56.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Welsh Fire (主队)：42.29%；Trent Rockets (客队)：57.71%。 对于“Trent Rockets (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.73。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为1.77，对应+2.14%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (36 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -17.53%E -8.99%K -18.45%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV +2.14%E +1.21%K +2.78%G +0.059%7.8%2026-07-29 01:19
Pinnacle🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -10.33%E -4.87%K -9.23%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -0.170%E -0.098%K -0.233%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 13:55
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -13.30%E -6.49%K -12.66%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -2.48%E -1.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-29 13:40
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.95%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.63%E -2.18%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 13:25
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.84%E -2.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.79%E -2.90%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 13:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.84%E -2.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.79%E -2.90%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 13:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -6.53%E -2.95%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -4.79%E -2.90%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 13:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.84%E -2.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.36%E -3.27%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 13:35
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.84%E -2.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.36%E -3.27%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 13:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.72%E -1.18%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.52%E -4.02%K -10.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-29 13:55
NordicBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.72%E -1.18%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.52%E -4.02%K -10.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-29 13:55
Betsson🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.72%E -1.18%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.52%E -4.02%K -10.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-29 13:55
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.72%E -1.18%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.52%E -4.02%K -10.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-29 13:30
Bet Right🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.84%E -2.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.52%E -4.02%K -10.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-29 13:55
TAB🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.84%E -2.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.52%E -4.02%K -10.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-29 13:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.84%E -2.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.52%E -4.02%K -10.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-29 13:35
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.84%E -2.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.52%E -4.02%K -10.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-29 13:35
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.84%E -2.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.52%E -4.02%K -10.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-29 13:35
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.84%E -2.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.52%E -4.02%K -10.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-29 13:55
Casumo🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -1.88%E -0.809%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -7.09%E -4.41%K -11.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-29 13:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -1.88%E -0.809%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -7.09%E -4.41%K -11.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-29 13:55
TABtouch🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -1.88%E -0.809%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -7.09%E -4.41%K -11.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-29 13:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -1.88%E -0.809%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -7.09%E -4.41%K -11.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-29 13:55
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.72%E -1.18%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.09%E -4.41%K -11.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 13:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.72%E -1.18%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.09%E -4.41%K -11.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 13:55
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.72%E -1.18%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.09%E -4.41%K -11.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 13:55
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.72%E -1.18%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.09%E -4.41%K -11.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 13:30
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -4.84%E -2.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.09%E -4.41%K -11.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-29 13:55
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -4.84%E -2.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.09%E -4.41%K -11.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-29 13:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -4.84%E -2.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.09%E -4.41%K -11.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-29 13:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.59%EV -8.22%E -3.79%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.41%EV -7.09%E -4.41%K -11.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-29 13:45
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.84%E -2.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.67%E -4.79%K -12.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-29 13:35
SportsBet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.67%EV -5.26%E -2.35%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -7.67%E -4.79%K -12.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-29 13:35
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.95%E -3.16%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.67%E -4.79%K -12.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-29 13:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +1.51%E +0.628%K +1.08%G +0.016%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -9.40%E -5.99%K -16.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 13:55
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -4.84%E -2.15%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.40%E -5.99%K -16.50%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-29 13:55
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39%0.1%2026-07-29 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%0.5%2026-07-29 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-07-29 13:55
Matchbook◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-07-29 13:55
Smarkets◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%1.9%2026-07-29 13:55