默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Manchester Super Giants v Birmingham Phoenix

开赛时间: 2026-07-26 13:30 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

23 家博彩公司 (7 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Manchester Super Giants (主队)

预测 57.28%1.75公平赔率
EV +0.246%
优势 +0.140%
Kelly +0.328%
增长率 +0.001%

假设最高赔率为 1.75

博彩公司预测分布
53.95%57.26%57.44%59.43%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.571.681.661.7563.69%59.63%60.24%57.14%最小值均值中位数最大值

Birmingham Phoenix (客队)

预测 42.72%2.34公平赔率
EV -1.75%
优势 -0.762%
Kelly -1.35%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.30

博彩公司预测分布
40.57%42.74%42.56%46.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.052.162.202.3048.78%46.32%45.45%43.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Manchester Super Giants (主队):57.28%;Birmingham Phoenix (客队):42.72%。 对于“Manchester Super Giants (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.746。 当时有7家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为1.750,对应+0.246%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (23 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Unibet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV +0.246%E +0.140%K +0.328%G +0.001%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -12.43%E -6.06%K -11.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 08:05
Grosvenor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV +0.246%E +0.140%K +0.328%G +0.001%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -12.43%E -6.06%K -11.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 08:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV +0.246%E +0.140%K +0.328%G +0.001%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -12.43%E -6.06%K -11.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 08:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV +0.246%E +0.140%K +0.328%G +0.001%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -12.43%E -6.06%K -11.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 08:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV +0.246%E +0.140%K +0.328%G +0.001%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -12.43%E -6.06%K -11.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 08:05
Casumo🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV +0.246%E +0.140%K +0.328%G +0.001%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -12.43%E -6.06%K -11.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 08:05
TABtouch🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV +0.246%E +0.140%K +0.328%G +0.001%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -12.43%E -6.06%K -11.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 08:05
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.76%E -2.24%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 06:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.76%E -2.24%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 07:24
Neds🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.76%E -2.24%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 07:25
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 10:04
Pinnacle🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.91%E -2.96%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.31%E -1.93%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-26 12:40
BetUS🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -4.91%E -2.96%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -9.44%E -4.45%K -8.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 12:50
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.48%E -3.32%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.89%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 13:29
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.48%E -3.32%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-25 21:14
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.48%E -3.32%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.16%E -3.79%K -7.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 13:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -5.48%E -3.32%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.88%EV -9.87%E -4.68%K -8.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 12:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.06%E -3.69%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.89%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 13:29
SportsBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -6.63%E -4.07%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -6.88%E -3.15%K -5.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 12:50
Bet Right🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.20%E -4.45%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.89%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 13:29
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.20%E -4.45%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 05:09
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.77%E -4.83%K -12.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -3.89%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-26 13:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -10.07%E -6.41%K -17.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -1.75%E -0.762%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 13:29
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-07-26 13:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-07-26 13:25
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-07-26 13:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%0.9%2026-07-26 13:25