默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

South Africa v Australia

2026-10-11 07:30 UTC — Test Matches

胜负盘

16 家博彩公司 (3 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

South Africa (主队)

预测 18.41%5.43公平赔率
EV +1.24%
优势 +0.225%
Kelly +0.275%
增长率 +0.003%

假设最高赔率为 5.50

博彩公司预测分布
17.06%18.41%18.63%20.16%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.505.175.455.5022.22%19.34%18.35%18.18%最小值均值中位数最大值

Australia (客队)

预测 44.91%2.23公平赔率
EV -5.69%
优势 -2.71%
Kelly -5.17%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.10

博彩公司预测分布
44.17%44.91%44.83%45.35%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.002.082.102.1050.00%48.12%47.62%47.62%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 36.69%2.73公平赔率
EV -3.52%
优势 -1.34%
Kelly -2.16%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.63

博彩公司预测分布
34.49%36.69%36.53%37.84%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.452.532.502.6340.82%39.52%40.00%38.02%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:South Africa (主队):18.41%;Australia (客队):44.91%;平局:36.69%。 对于“South Africa (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.43。 有8家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为5.50,由此产生+1.24%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (16 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Grosvenor🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV +1.24%E +0.225%K +0.275%G +0.003%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.01%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.29%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 19:15
Casumo🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV +1.24%E +0.225%K +0.275%G +0.003%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.01%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.29%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 19:14
Unibet (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV +1.24%E +0.225%K +0.275%G +0.003%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.01%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.29%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 19:15
ATG (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV +1.24%E +0.225%K +0.275%G +0.003%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.01%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.29%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 19:15
LiveScore Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV +1.24%E +0.225%K +0.275%G +0.003%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.01%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.29%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 19:15
Virgin Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV +1.24%E +0.225%K +0.275%G +0.003%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.01%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.29%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 19:15
Unibet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV +1.24%E +0.225%K +0.275%G +0.003%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.11%EV -6.59%E -3.17%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.83%EV -9.02%E -3.64%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 19:15
BetRivers🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV +1.24%E +0.225%K +0.275%G +0.003%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.11%EV -6.59%E -3.17%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.83%EV -9.02%E -3.64%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 19:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -0.604%E -0.112%K -0.137%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.59%E -3.17%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -9.02%E -3.64%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-10 19:15
TABtouch🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.17%EV -0.604%E -0.112%K -0.137%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.00%EV -7.49%E -3.64%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.84%EV -10.12%E -4.13%K -6.98%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-10 19:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -7.97%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.57%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -6.45%E -2.53%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-10 14:45
Betway🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV -12.57%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -7.94%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.52%EV -4.62%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-10 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -15.33%E -3.33%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.67%EV -4.62%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-10 14:55
Neds🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -15.33%E -3.33%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.67%EV -4.62%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-10 14:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -17.17%E -3.82%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.35%EV -10.18%E -5.09%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.49%EV -3.52%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-10 15:20
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.13%EV -17.17%E -3.82%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.29%EV -10.18%E -5.09%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.58%EV -3.89%E -1.48%K -2.40%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-10 14:50
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.70I 17.54%NM 17.46%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.84%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.70%0.5%2026-10-10 20:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.50I 18.18%NM 17.96%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.90%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.14%1.2%2026-10-10 21:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.50I 18.18%NM 17.96%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.90%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.14%1.2%2026-10-10 21:00