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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Australia v Bangladesh

开赛时间： 2026-08-22 00:03 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

29 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Australia (主队)

预测 85.18%1.17公平赔率
EV -4.60%
优势 -4.10%
Kelly -38.31%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.12

博彩公司预测分布
81.22%84.62%85.53%88.48%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.061.091.101.1294.34%91.57%90.91%89.29%最小值均值中位数最大值

Bangladesh (客队)

预测 11.28%8.86公平赔率
EV +12.83%
优势 +1.28%
Kelly +1.43%
增长率 +0.183%

假设最高赔率为 10.00

博彩公司预测分布
9.47%11.62%10.96%14.89%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
6.008.378.5010.0016.67%11.95%11.76%10.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 3.54%28.28公平赔率
EV +62.65%
优势 +1.36%
Kelly +1.39%
增长率 +0.872%

假设最高赔率为 46.00

博彩公司预测分布
2.06%3.75%3.52%5.74%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
16.2929.9126.0046.006.14%3.34%3.85%2.17%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Australia (主队)：85.18%；Bangladesh (客队)：11.28%；平局：3.54%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为28.28。 当时有13家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为46.00，对应+62.65%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (29 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
Paddy Power🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.48%EV -8.86%E -8.28%K -126.51%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.47%EV +12.83%E +1.28%K +1.43%G +0.183%46.00I 2.17%NM 2.06%EV +62.65%E +1.36%K +1.39%G +0.872%5.6%2026-08-21 23:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.48%EV -8.86%E -8.28%K -126.51%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.47%EV +12.83%E +1.28%K +1.43%G +0.183%46.00I 2.17%NM 2.06%EV +62.65%E +1.36%K +1.39%G +0.872%5.6%2026-08-21 23:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.68%EV -9.71%E -9.16%K -161.80%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.05%EV +4.36%E +0.472%K +0.529%G +0.023%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.27%EV +44.97%E +1.10%K +1.12%G +0.506%7.6%2026-08-21 23:50
Neds🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.68%EV -9.71%E -9.16%K -161.80%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.05%EV +4.36%E +0.472%K +0.529%G +0.023%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.27%EV +44.97%E +1.10%K +1.12%G +0.506%7.6%2026-08-21 23:50
NordicBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.18%EV -4.60%E -4.10%K -38.31%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -21.02%E -3.00%K -3.50%G +0.000%40.00I 2.50%NM 2.36%EV +41.44%E +1.04%K +1.06%G +0.440%6.1%2026-08-21 23:55
888sport🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.86%EV -4.60%E -4.10%K -38.31%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.50%EV -14.25%E -1.88%K -2.16%G +0.000%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.64%EV +27.29%E +0.758%K +0.780%G +0.213%5.2%2026-08-21 23:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.86%EV -4.60%E -4.10%K -38.31%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.50%EV -14.25%E -1.88%K -2.16%G +0.000%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.64%EV +27.29%E +0.758%K +0.780%G +0.213%5.2%2026-08-21 23:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.86%EV -4.60%E -4.10%K -38.31%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.50%EV -14.25%E -1.88%K -2.16%G +0.000%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.64%EV +27.29%E +0.758%K +0.780%G +0.213%5.2%2026-08-21 23:49
Coral🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.04%EV -9.71%E -9.16%K -161.80%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV +1.54%E +0.172%K +0.193%G +0.003%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.71%EV +20.22%E +0.595%K +0.613%G +0.124%8.4%2026-08-21 23:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.04%EV -9.71%E -9.16%K -161.80%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV +1.54%E +0.172%K +0.193%G +0.003%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.71%EV +20.22%E +0.595%K +0.613%G +0.124%8.4%2026-08-21 23:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.43%EV -4.60%E -4.10%K -38.31%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -21.02%E -3.00%K -3.50%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.22%EV +2.54%E +0.088%K +0.091%G +0.002%7.0%2026-08-21 23:55
DraftKings🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.99%EV -8.86%E -8.28%K -126.51%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV +7.19%E +0.756%K +0.845%G +0.061%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.21%EV +2.54%E +0.088%K +0.091%G +0.002%7.4%2026-08-21 21:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.54%EV -7.15%E -6.56%K -79.47%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -15.38%E -2.05%K -2.37%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.18%EV +2.54%E +0.088%K +0.091%G +0.002%8.5%2026-08-21 23:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 85.91%EV -9.71%E -9.16%K -161.80%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -4.10%E -0.482%K -0.546%G +0.000%27.00I 3.70%NM 3.37%EV -4.53%E -0.168%K -0.174%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-21 23:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.34%EV -6.30%E -5.73%K -63.00%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV -4.10%E -0.482%K -0.546%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.61%EV -8.07%E -0.310%K -0.323%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-21 23:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.34%EV -6.30%E -5.73%K -63.00%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV -4.10%E -0.482%K -0.546%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.61%EV -8.07%E -0.310%K -0.323%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-21 23:44
BetRivers🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.34%EV -6.30%E -5.73%K -63.00%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV -4.10%E -0.482%K -0.546%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.61%EV -8.07%E -0.310%K -0.323%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-21 23:44
Grosvenor🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.34%EV -6.30%E -5.73%K -63.00%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV -4.10%E -0.482%K -0.546%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.61%EV -8.07%E -0.310%K -0.323%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-21 23:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.34%EV -6.30%E -5.73%K -63.00%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV -4.10%E -0.482%K -0.546%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.61%EV -8.07%E -0.310%K -0.323%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-21 23:44
Unibet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.34%EV -6.30%E -5.73%K -63.00%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV -4.10%E -0.482%K -0.546%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.61%EV -8.07%E -0.310%K -0.323%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-21 23:45
Casumo🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.34%EV -6.30%E -5.73%K -63.00%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV -4.10%E -0.482%K -0.546%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.61%EV -8.07%E -0.310%K -0.323%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-21 23:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.34%EV -6.30%E -5.73%K -63.00%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV -4.10%E -0.482%K -0.546%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.61%EV -8.07%E -0.310%K -0.323%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-21 23:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.34%EV -6.30%E -5.73%K -63.00%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV -4.10%E -0.482%K -0.546%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.61%EV -8.07%E -0.310%K -0.323%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-21 23:45
TABtouch🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.34%EV -7.15%E -6.56%K -79.47%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.94%EV -4.10%E -0.482%K -0.546%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.72%EV -11.60%E -0.464%K -0.483%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-21 23:45
betano_uk🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 81.22%EV -6.30%E -5.73%K -63.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -32.30%E -5.38%K -6.46%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 3.88%EV -18.67%E -0.812%K -0.849%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-21 23:53
Bet Victor🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 81.22%EV -6.30%E -5.73%K -63.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -32.30%E -5.38%K -6.46%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 3.88%EV -18.67%E -0.812%K -0.849%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-21 23:54
TAB🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.14%EV -6.30%E -5.73%K -63.00%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.41%EV +1.54%E +0.172%K +0.193%G +0.003%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.46%EV -25.75%E -1.23%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-21 23:39
Betway🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 84.97%EV -8.86%E -8.28%K -126.51%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -4.10%E -0.482%K -0.546%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.33%EV -25.75%E -1.23%K -1.29%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-21 23:50
Pinnacle🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.27%EV -5.45%E -4.91%K -49.53%G +0.000%9.36I 10.68%NM 9.99%EV +5.61%E +0.599%K +0.671%G +0.038%16.29I 6.14%NM 5.74%EV -42.40%E -2.60%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-21 22:45
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.11I 90.09%NM 89.76%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.97%44.00I 2.27%NM 2.26%0.4%2026-08-21 23:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.11I 90.09%NM 89.47%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.28%44.00I 2.27%NM 2.26%0.7%2026-08-21 23:55
Matchbook◎1.11I 90.09%NM 89.37%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.27%42.00I 2.38%NM 2.36%0.8%2026-08-21 23:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.11I 90.09%NM 89.27%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%40.00I 2.50%NM 2.48%0.9%2026-08-21 23:55