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預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)
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Afghanistan v Zimbabwe

開賽時間： 2026-11-08 06:00 UTC

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下，根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始，因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

17 家博彩公司 (2 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率：四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Afghanistan (主隊)

預測 20.43%4.90公平賠率
EV -6.03%
優勢 -1.31%
Kelly -1.68%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 4.60

博彩公司預測分布
20.10%20.43%20.43%21.72%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
4.204.494.504.6023.81%22.28%22.22%21.74%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Zimbabwe (客隊)

預測 18.22%5.49公平賠率
EV +0.229%
優勢 +0.042%
Kelly +0.051%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 5.50

博彩公司預測分布
16.98%18.22%18.22%19.53%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
4.755.265.505.5021.05%19.03%18.18%18.18%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 61.35%1.63公平賠率
EV -4.91%
優勢 -3.17%
Kelly -8.93%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.55

博彩公司預測分布
59.85%61.35%61.35%62.26%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.491.511.501.5567.11%66.30%66.67%64.52%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率，四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為：Afghanistan (主隊)：20.43%；Zimbabwe (客隊)：18.22%；和局：61.35%。 對於「Zimbabwe (客隊)」，該估計相當於5.49的公平十進位賠率。 當時有9家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率；最佳賠率為5.50，對應+0.229%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (17 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯，也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼和局利潤率更新時間
BetRivers🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -8.08%E -1.79%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV +0.229%E +0.042%K +0.051%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -7.98%E -5.32%K -15.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-07 13:40
Unibet (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -8.08%E -1.79%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV +0.229%E +0.042%K +0.051%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -7.98%E -5.32%K -15.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-07 13:40
Unibet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -8.08%E -1.79%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV +0.229%E +0.042%K +0.051%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -7.98%E -5.32%K -15.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-07 13:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -8.08%E -1.79%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV +0.229%E +0.042%K +0.051%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -7.98%E -5.32%K -15.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-07 13:40
LiveScore Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -8.08%E -1.79%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV +0.229%E +0.042%K +0.051%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -7.98%E -5.32%K -15.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-07 13:39
Casumo🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -8.08%E -1.79%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV +0.229%E +0.042%K +0.051%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -7.98%E -5.32%K -15.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-07 13:39
Grosvenor🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -8.08%E -1.79%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV +0.229%E +0.042%K +0.051%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -7.98%E -5.32%K -15.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-07 13:40
Virgin Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -8.08%E -1.79%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV +0.229%E +0.042%K +0.051%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -7.98%E -5.32%K -15.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-07 13:40
ATG (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -8.08%E -1.79%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV +0.229%E +0.042%K +0.051%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -7.98%E -5.32%K -15.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-07 13:40
TABtouch🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -8.08%E -1.79%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.17%EV -1.59%E -0.295%K -0.362%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.23%EV -8.59%E -5.77%K -17.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-07 13:39
Betr (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -8.08%E -1.79%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.79%EV -5.24%E -1.01%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.66%EV -7.98%E -5.32%K -15.95%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-07 13:50
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.08%E -1.79%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -8.88%E -1.78%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -7.98%E -5.32%K -15.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-07 22:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.08%E -1.79%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -8.88%E -1.78%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -7.98%E -5.32%K -15.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-07 22:54
TAB🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.72%EV -14.20%E -3.38%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -8.88%E -1.78%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.03%EV -6.75%E -4.44%K -12.98%G +0.000%9.6%2026-11-08 05:55
Neds🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -8.08%E -1.79%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -13.44%E -2.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.85%EV -4.91%E -3.17%K -8.93%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-08 05:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -8.08%E -1.79%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -13.44%E -2.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.85%EV -4.91%E -3.17%K -8.93%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-08 05:55
Betway🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.10%EV -6.03%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.47%EV -13.44%E -2.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.43%EV -6.14%E -4.01%K -11.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-08 05:55
利潤率 = 利潤率（超額機率） · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間，因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動，不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司；只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時，才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.88%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.00%0.6%2026-11-08 05:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.88%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.00%0.6%2026-11-08 05:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.05%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.14%1.0%2026-11-08 05:55

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