语言:简体中文
South Africa v Pakistan
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
South Africa (主队)
预测 79.96%1.25公平赔率
EV -2.45%
优势 -2.01%
Kelly -11.14%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.22
博彩公司预测分布
78.99%80.28%80.10%82.83%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.141.171.171.2287.72%85.54%85.47%81.97%最小值均值中位数最大值
Pakistan (客队)
预测 20.04%4.99公平赔率
EV +10.23%
优势 +1.86%
Kelly +2.27%
增长率 +0.232%
假设最高赔率为 5.50
博彩公司预测分布
17.17%19.72%19.90%21.01%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.404.995.005.5022.73%20.04%20.00%18.18%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：South Africa (主队)：79.96%；Pakistan (客队)：20.04%。 对于“Pakistan (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.99。 当时有13家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为5.50，对应+10.23%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (22 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TAB🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -8.85%E -7.76%K -63.19%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +10.23%E +1.86%K +2.27%G +0.232% | 5.9% | 2026-06-17 17:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -8.85%E -7.76%K -63.19%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +10.23%E +1.86%K +2.27%G +0.232% | 5.9% | 2026-06-17 17:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -8.05%E -7.00%K -53.65%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV +6.22%E +1.17%K +1.45%G +0.090% | 5.8% | 2026-06-17 17:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -8.05%E -7.00%K -53.65%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV +6.22%E +1.17%K +1.45%G +0.090% | 5.8% | 2026-06-17 17:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -8.05%E -7.00%K -53.65%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV +6.22%E +1.17%K +1.45%G +0.090% | 5.8% | 2026-06-17 17:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -8.05%E -7.00%K -53.65%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV +6.22%E +1.17%K +1.45%G +0.090% | 5.8% | 2026-06-17 17:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -8.05%E -7.00%K -53.65%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV +6.22%E +1.17%K +1.45%G +0.090% | 5.8% | 2026-06-17 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -8.05%E -7.00%K -53.65%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV +6.22%E +1.17%K +1.45%G +0.090% | 5.8% | 2026-06-17 17:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39%EV -2.45%E -2.01%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61%EV +0.206%E +0.041%K +0.052%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-06-17 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39%EV -2.45%E -2.01%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61%EV +0.206%E +0.041%K +0.052%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-06-17 17:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.45%E -5.51%K -37.93%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +0.206%E +0.041%K +0.052%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-17 16:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.45%E -5.51%K -37.93%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +0.206%E +0.041%K +0.052%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-17 16:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -7.25%E -6.25%K -45.30%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV +0.206%E +0.041%K +0.052%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-17 17:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.38%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -1.80%E -0.367%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-17 17:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.38%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -3.80%E -0.792%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-17 17:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.38%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -4.80%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-17 17:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.38%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -4.80%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-17 17:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.38%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -5.81%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-17 17:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.38%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -7.81%E -1.70%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-17 17:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.65%E -4.79%K -31.38%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -7.81%E -1.70%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-17 17:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.45%E -5.51%K -37.93%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -9.81%E -2.18%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-17 17:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -6.45%E -5.51%K -37.93%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -11.82%E -2.69%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-17 17:20 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 0.7% | 2026-06-17 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 0.7% | 2026-06-17 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 0.7% | 2026-06-17 17:11 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 0.7% | 2026-06-17 17:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 83.68% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.32% | 2.1% | 2026-06-17 17:10 |