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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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New Zealand v Ireland

开赛时间： 2026-06-19 17:30 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

22 家博彩公司 (5 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

New Zealand (主队)

预测 83.32%1.20公平赔率
EV -5.02%
优势 -4.40%
Kelly -35.86%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.14

博彩公司预测分布
82.28%83.28%83.08%85.30%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.121.131.121.1489.29%88.85%89.29%87.72%最小值均值中位数最大值

Ireland (客队)

预测 16.68%5.99公平赔率
EV +8.45%
优势 +1.30%
Kelly +1.54%
增长率 +0.130%

假设最高赔率为 6.50

博彩公司预测分布
14.70%16.72%16.92%17.72%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.205.916.006.5019.23%16.93%16.67%15.38%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：New Zealand (主队)：83.32%；Ireland (客队)：16.68%。 对于“Ireland (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.99。 当时有15家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为6.50，对应+8.45%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (22 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Sky Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -5.85%E -5.18%K -45.03%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV +8.45%E +1.30%K +1.54%G +0.130%3.9%2026-06-19 17:20
Paddy Power🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -6.69%E -5.97%K -55.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +8.45%E +1.30%K +1.54%G +0.130%4.7%2026-06-19 17:20
Betway🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.02%E -4.40%K -35.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +0.107%E +0.018%K +0.021%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-19 17:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.85%E -5.18%K -45.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +0.107%E +0.018%K +0.021%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 17:10
Bet Right🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.85%E -5.18%K -45.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +0.107%E +0.018%K +0.021%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 17:10
SportsBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.69%E -5.97%K -55.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +0.107%E +0.018%K +0.021%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-19 17:20
Coral🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.69%E -5.97%K -55.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +0.107%E +0.018%K +0.021%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-19 17:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.69%E -5.97%K -55.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +0.107%E +0.018%K +0.021%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-19 17:10
TAB🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.69%E -5.97%K -55.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +0.107%E +0.018%K +0.021%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-19 17:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.69%E -5.97%K -55.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +0.107%E +0.018%K +0.021%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-19 17:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.69%E -5.97%K -55.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +0.107%E +0.018%K +0.021%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-19 17:10
Casumo🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.69%E -5.97%K -55.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +0.107%E +0.018%K +0.021%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-19 17:10
Unibet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.69%E -5.97%K -55.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +0.107%E +0.018%K +0.021%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-19 17:10
Grosvenor🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.69%E -5.97%K -55.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +0.107%E +0.018%K +0.021%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-19 17:10
TABtouch🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.69%E -5.97%K -55.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +0.107%E +0.018%K +0.021%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-19 17:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.02%E -4.40%K -35.86%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -4.06%E -0.707%K -0.856%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-19 17:10
Neds🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.02%E -4.40%K -35.86%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -4.06%E -0.707%K -0.856%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-19 17:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.85%E -5.18%K -45.03%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -4.06%E -0.707%K -0.856%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-19 17:10
BoyleSports🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.02%E -4.40%K -35.86%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.24%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-19 17:10
William Hill🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.69%E -5.97%K -55.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -8.24%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-19 17:20
888sport🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.69%E -5.97%K -55.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -8.24%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-19 17:20
Bet Victor🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.28%EV -6.69%E -5.97%K -55.72%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -13.24%E -2.55%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-19 17:20
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook◎1.16I 86.21%NM 86.12%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.88%0.1%2026-06-19 17:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%0.9%2026-06-19 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%0.9%2026-06-19 17:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%0.9%2026-06-19 17:20
Smarkets◎1.15I 86.96%NM 85.89%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.11%1.2%2026-06-19 17:10