语言:简体中文
England v Ireland
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
England (主队)
预测 93.45%1.07公平赔率
EV -4.68%
优势 -4.59%
Kelly -234.06%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.02
博彩公司预测分布
91.59%93.30%93.66%94.39%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.001.011.011.02100.00%98.71%99.01%98.04%最小值均值中位数最大值
Ireland (客队)
预测 6.55%15.27公平赔率
EV +11.35%
优势 +0.668%
Kelly +0.710%
增长率 +0.081%
假设最高赔率为 17.00
博彩公司预测分布
5.61%6.70%6.34%8.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
11.0015.4117.0017.009.09%6.49%5.88%5.88%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：England (主队)：93.45%；Ireland (客队)：6.55%。 对于“Ireland (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为15.27。 当时有12家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为17.00，对应+11.35%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (23 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.68%E -4.59%K -234.06%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +11.35%E +0.668%K +0.710%G +0.081% | 3.9% | 2026-06-16 03:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.68%E -4.59%K -234.06%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +11.35%E +0.668%K +0.710%G +0.081% | 3.9% | 2026-06-16 03:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.68%E -4.59%K -234.06%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +11.35%E +0.668%K +0.710%G +0.081% | 3.9% | 2026-06-16 16:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.68%E -4.59%K -234.06%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +11.35%E +0.668%K +0.710%G +0.081% | 3.9% | 2026-06-16 16:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.62%E -5.56%K -561.57%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +11.35%E +0.668%K +0.710%G +0.081% | 4.9% | 2026-06-16 03:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.62%E -5.56%K -561.57%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +11.35%E +0.668%K +0.710%G +0.081% | 4.9% | 2026-06-16 17:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.62%E -5.56%K -561.57%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +11.35%E +0.668%K +0.710%G +0.081% | 4.9% | 2026-06-16 03:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.62%E -5.56%K -561.57%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +11.35%E +0.668%K +0.710%G +0.081% | 4.9% | 2026-06-16 03:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.62%E -5.56%K -561.57%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +11.35%E +0.668%K +0.710%G +0.081% | 4.9% | 2026-06-16 17:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.62%E -5.56%K -561.57%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +11.35%E +0.668%K +0.710%G +0.081% | 4.9% | 2026-06-16 03:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.62%E -5.56%K -561.57%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +11.35%E +0.668%K +0.710%G +0.081% | 4.9% | 2026-06-16 03:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.62%E -5.56%K -561.57%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +11.35%E +0.668%K +0.710%G +0.081% | 4.9% | 2026-06-16 03:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.68%E -4.59%K -234.06%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -1.75%E -0.116%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-16 16:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.62%E -5.56%K -561.57%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -1.75%E -0.116%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-16 03:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.62%E -5.56%K -561.57%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -1.75%E -0.116%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-16 03:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 93.75%EV -6.55%E -6.55%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.25%EV -1.75%E -0.116%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-16 16:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.68%E -4.59%K -234.06%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -8.30%E -0.593%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-16 17:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -5.62%E -5.56%K -561.57%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -8.30%E -0.593%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-16 09:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.68%E -4.59%K -234.06%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -14.85%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-16 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.62%E -5.56%K -561.57%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -14.85%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-16 16:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.62%E -5.56%K -561.57%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -14.85%E -1.14%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-16 16:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -4.68%E -4.59%K -234.06%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -18.12%E -1.45%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 17:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -5.62%E -5.56%K -561.57%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -27.95%E -2.54%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-16 17:10 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.45% | 28.00I 3.57%NM 3.55% | 0.7% | 2026-06-16 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.45% | 28.00I 3.57%NM 3.55% | 0.7% | 2026-06-16 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.45% | 28.00I 3.57%NM 3.55% | 0.7% | 2026-06-16 17:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.45% | 28.00I 3.57%NM 3.55% | 0.7% | 2026-06-16 17:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.33% | 27.03I 3.70%NM 3.67% | 0.8% | 2026-06-16 17:10 |