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Sri Lanka v New Zealand

开赛时间： 2026-02-25 13:30 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

32 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Sri Lanka (主队)

预测 41.48%2.41公平赔率
EV -1.29%
优势 -0.541%
Kelly -0.934%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.38

博彩公司预测分布
39.13%41.34%41.39%42.86%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.152.292.302.3846.51%43.60%43.48%42.02%最小值均值中位数最大值

New Zealand (客队)

预测 58.52%1.71公平赔率
EV -3.43%
优势 -2.08%
Kelly -5.28%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.65

博彩公司预测分布
57.14%58.66%58.61%60.87%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.531.611.601.6565.36%62.29%62.50%60.61%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Sri Lanka (主队)：41.48%；New Zealand (客队)：58.52%。 对于“Sri Lanka (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.41。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.38，期望值为-1.29%，未产生正期望值。

有 3 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (32 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -1.29%E -0.541%K -0.934%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -5.78%E -3.59%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-25 07:45
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -1.29%E -0.541%K -0.934%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -10.46%E -6.83%K -19.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-24 23:29
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.53%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.36%E -3.98%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 13:04
Virgin Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.53%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.36%E -3.98%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 13:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.53%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.36%E -3.98%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 13:04
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.53%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.36%E -3.98%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 13:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.53%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.36%E -3.98%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 13:04
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.53%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.36%E -3.98%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 13:05
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.53%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.36%E -3.98%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 13:05
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.53%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.36%E -3.98%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 13:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.53%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.36%E -3.98%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 13:05
GTbets🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -2.53%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -7.53%E -4.77%K -12.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-25 13:24
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -2.53%E -1.08%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.12%E -5.17%K -14.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-25 07:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -3.78%E -1.63%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.10%EV -9.87%E -6.41%K -18.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-25 12:54
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.61%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.43%E -2.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-25 13:16
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.61%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.61%E -2.83%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-25 13:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.61%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-25 13:24
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.61%E -2.00%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-25 13:24
FanDuel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.44%E -2.38%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.78%E -3.59%K -9.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-25 13:20
SportsBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.44%E -2.38%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -6.36%E -3.98%K -10.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-25 13:20
Bet Right🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.68%E -2.97%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.43%E -2.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 13:05
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.68%E -2.97%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.43%E -2.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 13:20
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.68%E -2.97%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-25 13:24
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.68%E -2.97%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-25 13:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.68%E -2.97%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-25 13:25
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.68%E -2.97%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.19%E -3.20%K -8.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-25 13:13
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.68%E -2.97%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.78%E -3.59%K -9.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-25 13:14
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.68%E -2.97%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.78%E -3.59%K -9.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-25 13:15
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.75%E -3.98%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.43%E -2.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-25 13:20
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.75%E -3.98%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.36%E -3.98%K -10.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-25 13:20
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -10.83%E -5.04%K -9.42%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.64%EV -7.53%E -4.77%K -12.98%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-25 13:09
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -10.83%E -5.04%K -9.42%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.64%EV -7.53%E -4.77%K -12.98%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-25 13:10
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%0.5%2026-02-25 13:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-02-25 13:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-02-25 13:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-02-25 13:25
Smarkets◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%2.3%2026-02-25 13:24

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (3)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2选项 3利润率 ▲更新时间
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.08%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.19%11.5%2026-02-25 13:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.08%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.19%11.5%2026-02-25 13:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.08%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.19%11.5%2026-02-25 13:20