默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Sussex v Leicestershire

开赛时间: 2026-06-05 18:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

24 家博彩公司 (7 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Sussex (主队)

预测 50.64%1.97公平赔率
EV -1.24%
优势 -0.638%
Kelly -1.31%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.95

博彩公司预测分布
48.00%50.88%50.00%54.91%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.701.851.821.9558.82%54.04%54.95%51.28%最小值均值中位数最大值

Leicestershire (客队)

预测 49.36%2.03公平赔率
EV +3.65%
优势 +1.74%
Kelly +3.32%
增长率 +0.121%

假设最高赔率为 2.10

博彩公司预测分布
45.09%49.12%50.00%52.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.801.911.922.1055.56%52.32%51.95%47.62%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Sussex (主队):50.64%;Leicestershire (客队):49.36%。 对于“Leicestershire (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.03。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.10,对应+3.65%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (24 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -12.39%E -7.16%K -16.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +3.65%E +1.74%K +3.32%G +0.121%5.4%2026-06-04 07:09
Pinnacle🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -13.91%E -8.18%K -19.86%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV +2.17%E +1.05%K +2.03%G +0.044%7.1%2026-06-05 17:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -7.83%E -4.30%K -9.55%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -3.76%E -1.93%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-05 17:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -7.83%E -4.30%K -9.55%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -3.76%E -1.93%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-05 17:39
Unibet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -7.83%E -4.30%K -9.55%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -3.76%E -1.93%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-05 17:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -7.83%E -4.30%K -9.55%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -4.25%E -2.19%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-05 17:39
Casumo🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -7.83%E -4.30%K -9.55%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -4.25%E -2.19%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-05 17:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -7.83%E -4.30%K -9.55%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -4.25%E -2.19%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-05 17:39
Grosvenor🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -7.83%E -4.30%K -9.55%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -4.25%E -2.19%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-05 17:39
LeoVegas🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -7.83%E -4.30%K -9.55%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -4.25%E -2.19%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-05 17:39
TABtouch🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -7.83%E -4.30%K -9.55%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -4.25%E -2.19%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-05 17:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -7.83%E -4.30%K -9.55%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -4.25%E -2.19%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-05 17:39
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.27%E -1.71%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.73%E -3.00%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-05 17:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.27%E -1.71%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.73%E -3.00%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-05 17:49
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.27%E -1.71%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.73%E -3.00%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-05 17:39
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.78%E -1.99%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.22%E -3.28%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-05 17:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%EV -7.83%E -4.30%K -9.55%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%EV -7.21%E -3.84%K -8.19%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-05 17:49
TAB🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -2.76%E -1.44%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -8.69%E -4.70%K -10.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-05 17:49
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.31%E -3.41%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.69%E -4.70%K -10.23%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-05 17:50
Bet Victor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -3.27%E -1.71%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -9.68%E -5.29%K -11.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-05 17:47
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -3.78%E -1.99%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -9.68%E -5.29%K -11.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-05 17:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -1.24%E -0.638%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -11.16%E -6.20%K -13.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-05 17:49
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -3.78%E -1.99%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -11.16%E -6.20%K -13.95%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-05 17:49
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -3.78%E -1.99%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -11.16%E -6.20%K -13.95%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-05 17:49
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-06-05 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-06-05 17:50
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-06-05 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%0.8%2026-06-05 17:50
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%1.9%2026-06-05 17:50