语言:简体中文
Nottinghamshire v Derbyshire
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Nottinghamshire (主队)
预测 55.17%1.81公平赔率
EV -3.46%
优势 -1.98%
Kelly -4.61%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.75
博彩公司预测分布
53.95%55.11%55.13%57.29%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.641.681.671.7560.98%59.54%59.88%57.14%最小值均值中位数最大值
Derbyshire (客队)
预测 44.83%2.23公平赔率
EV -1.37%
优势 -0.622%
Kelly -1.14%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.20
博彩公司预测分布
42.71%44.89%44.87%46.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.052.142.122.2048.78%46.75%47.28%45.45%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Nottinghamshire (主队)：55.17%；Derbyshire (客队)：44.83%。 对于“Derbyshire (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.23。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.20，期望值为-1.37%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (22 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.46%E -1.98%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.09%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-07 13:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.56%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-07 13:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.56%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-07 13:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.56%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-07 13:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.56%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-07 13:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.56%E -2.64%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.09%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-07 13:48 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.11%E -2.97%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-07 13:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.85%E -2.79%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-07 13:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.09%E -3.95%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-07 13:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -6.77%E -4.00%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -4.51%E -2.12%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-07 13:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.44%EV -7.32%E -4.36%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.56%EV -6.30%E -3.01%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-07 02:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -8.42%E -5.07%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.27%EV -6.30%E -3.01%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-07 09:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -9.53%E -5.81%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -1.37%E -0.622%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-06 06:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -9.53%E -5.81%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -1.37%E -0.622%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-06 06:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -9.53%E -5.81%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -1.37%E -0.622%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-06 06:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -9.53%E -5.81%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -1.37%E -0.622%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-06 06:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -9.53%E -5.81%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -1.37%E -0.622%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-06 06:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -9.53%E -5.81%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -1.37%E -0.622%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-06 06:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -9.53%E -5.81%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -1.37%E -0.622%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-06 06:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -9.53%E -5.81%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -1.37%E -0.622%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-06 06:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -9.53%E -5.81%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -1.37%E -0.622%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-06 06:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -9.53%E -5.81%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -1.37%E -0.622%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-06 06:39 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06% | 0.4% | 2026-06-07 13:49 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36% | 0.9% | 2026-06-07 13:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-06-07 13:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-06-07 13:49 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.20% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.80% | 2.8% | 2026-06-07 13:49 |