La scuola delle quote

Middlesex v Durham

Inizio: 2026-06-28 13:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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28 bookmaker (7 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Middlesex (Casa)

Previsione 41.89%2.39quota equa
EV -3.66%
Vantaggio -1.59%
Kelly -2.82%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.57%41.84%42.01%42.31%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.262.252.3045.45%44.15%44.44%43.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Durham (Trasferta)

Previsione 58.11%1.72quota equa
EV -4.11%
Vantaggio -2.49%
Kelly -6.33%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.65

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
57.69%58.16%57.99%59.43%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.571.601.611.6563.69%62.39%62.11%60.61%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (28 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.66%E -1.59%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.86%E -3.61%K -9.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-27 01:09
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.66%E -1.59%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.86%E -3.61%K -9.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-28 13:19
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.66%E -1.59%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.44%E -4.00%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-27 15:30
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -3.66%E -1.59%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.60%E -4.78%K -12.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-28 09:09
LiveScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -3.66%E -1.59%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.60%E -4.78%K -12.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-28 09:09
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -3.66%E -1.59%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.60%E -4.78%K -12.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-28 09:10
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -3.66%E -1.59%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.76%E -5.58%K -15.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-28 09:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -3.66%E -1.59%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.76%E -5.58%K -15.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-28 09:09
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -3.66%E -1.59%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.76%E -5.58%K -15.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-28 09:09
Grosvenor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -3.66%E -1.59%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.76%E -5.58%K -15.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-28 09:10
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -3.66%E -1.59%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.76%E -5.58%K -15.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-28 09:09
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -3.66%E -1.59%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.76%E -5.58%K -15.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-28 09:09
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -3.66%E -1.59%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.76%E -5.58%K -15.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-28 09:09
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.11%E -2.49%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 13:10
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.11%E -2.49%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 13:09
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.27%E -3.24%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-28 13:09
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.27%E -3.24%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-28 13:08
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.86%E -3.61%K -9.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-28 13:09
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.86%E -3.61%K -9.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-26 21:59
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.86%E -3.61%K -9.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-28 13:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.86%E -3.61%K -9.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-28 13:10
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.44%E -4.00%K -10.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-28 13:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.44%E -4.00%K -10.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-28 13:09
Pinnacle2.21I 45.25%NM 42.15%EV -7.43%E -3.36%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -6.44%E -4.00%K -10.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-27 14:20
Marathon Bet2.21I 45.25%NM 41.84%EV -7.43%E -3.36%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.16%EV -7.60%E -4.78%K -12.88%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-28 12:59
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.85%E -3.57%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.44%E -4.00%K -10.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-28 13:08
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.85%E -3.57%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.02%E -4.39%K -11.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-26 21:59
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.85%E -3.57%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.02%E -4.39%K -11.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-28 13:09
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-06-28 13:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-06-28 13:19
Matchbook2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-06-28 13:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31%1.6%2026-06-28 13:20
Smarkets2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71%2.6%2026-06-28 13:20