默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Leicestershire v Derbyshire

开赛时间： 2026-05-27 17:30 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

24 家博彩公司 (7 家纳入分析 )

57%

43%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Leicestershire (主队)

预测 57.28%1.75公平赔率

EV +0.812%

优势 +0.461%

Kelly +1.07%

增长率 +0.009%

假设最高赔率为 1.76

博彩公司预测分布

52.56%56.71%57.33%58.51%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.601.641.651.7662.50%60.90%60.42%56.82%最小值均值中位数最大值

Derbyshire (客队)

预测 42.72%2.34公平赔率

EV -3.02%

优势 -1.33%

Kelly -2.38%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.27

博彩公司预测分布

41.49%43.29%42.67%47.44%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.952.192.202.2751.28%45.58%45.45%44.05%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Leicestershire (主队)：57.28%；Derbyshire (客队)：42.72%。对于“Leicestershire (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.75。当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为1.76，对应+0.812%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (24 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
Marathon Bet🎯	1.76I 56.82%NM 52.56%EV +0.812%E +0.461%K +1.07%G +0.009%	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -16.69%E -8.56%K -17.57%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-05-27 12:10
BoyleSports🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-05-27 17:10
Grosvenor🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.92%E -2.96%K -7.45%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-05-27 17:10
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.92%E -2.96%K -7.45%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-05-27 17:10
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.92%E -2.96%K -7.45%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-05-27 17:10
Virgin Bet🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.92%E -2.96%K -7.45%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-05-27 17:10
TABtouch🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.92%E -2.96%K -7.45%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-05-27 17:10
Casumo🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.92%E -2.96%K -7.45%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-05-27 17:10
Unibet🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.92%E -2.96%K -7.45%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-05-27 17:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.92%E -2.96%K -7.45%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-05-27 17:10
LeoVegas🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.92%E -2.96%K -7.45%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-05-27 17:10
ATG (SE)🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.92%E -2.96%K -7.45%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-05-27 17:10
TAB🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.49%E -3.33%K -8.44%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-05-27 17:20
Pinnacle🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.49%E -3.33%K -8.44%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.15%E -3.79%K -7.09%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-05-27 17:10
Paddy Power🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.21%E -4.45%K -11.62%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.88%E -1.72%K -3.10%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-05-27 17:20
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -7.21%E -4.45%K -11.62%G +0.000%	2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -4.31%E -1.92%K -3.47%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-05-27 17:20
SportsBet🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -7.78%E -4.83%K -12.75%G +0.000%	2.27I 44.05%NM 41.49%EV -3.02%E -1.33%K -2.38%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-05-27 17:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.78%E -4.83%K -12.75%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -3.88%E -1.72%K -3.10%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-05-27 17:20
Coral🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.78%E -4.83%K -12.75%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -3.88%E -1.72%K -3.10%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-05-27 17:20
Bet Victor🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.78%E -4.83%K -12.75%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-05-27 17:18
Betr (AU)🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.35%E -5.22%K -13.92%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-05-27 17:20
Betway🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.35%E -5.22%K -13.92%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-05-27 17:19
NordicBet🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -8.35%E -5.22%K -13.92%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.15%E -3.79%K -7.09%G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-05-27 17:20
Betsson🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -8.35%E -5.22%K -13.92%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.15%E -3.79%K -7.09%G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-05-27 17:20

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%	2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%	0.3%	2026-05-27 17:20
Matchbook◎	1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%	2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%	0.5%	2026-05-27 17:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%	2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%	0.5%	2026-05-27 17:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%	2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%	0.5%	2026-05-27 17:20
Smarkets◎	1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%	2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%	2.3%	2026-05-27 17:20

Leicestershire v Derbyshire

胜负盘

Leicestershire (主队)

Derbyshire (客队)

博彩公司赔率 (24 家博彩公司)

博彩交易所 ? (5)

博彩交易所 (5)