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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Lancashire v Glamorgan

开赛时间： 2026-06-07 13:30 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

23 家博彩公司 (6 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Lancashire (主队)

预测 54.56%1.83公平赔率
EV -1.78%
优势 -0.991%
Kelly -2.23%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.80

博彩公司预测分布
52.63%54.78%54.26%57.78%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.601.751.771.8062.50%57.10%56.50%55.56%最小值均值中位数最大值

Glamorgan (客队)

预测 45.44%2.20公平赔率
EV -0.041%
优势 -0.019%
Kelly -0.034%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.20

博彩公司预测分布
42.22%45.22%45.74%47.37%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.002.032.002.2050.00%49.23%50.00%45.45%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Lancashire (主队)：54.56%；Glamorgan (客队)：45.44%。 对于“Glamorgan (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.201。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.200，期望值为-0.041%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (23 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.78%E -0.991%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.13%E -4.56%K -9.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-07 13:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.78%E -0.991%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.13%E -4.56%K -9.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-07 13:09
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.78%E -0.991%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.13%E -4.56%K -9.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-07 13:10
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.78%E -0.991%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.13%E -4.56%K -9.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-07 13:18
LiveScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.42%E -1.93%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.13%E -4.56%K -9.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-07 13:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.42%E -1.93%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.13%E -4.56%K -9.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-07 13:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.42%E -1.93%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.13%E -4.56%K -9.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-07 13:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.42%E -1.93%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.13%E -4.56%K -9.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-07 13:10
Unibet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.42%E -1.93%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.13%E -4.56%K -9.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-07 13:09
TABtouch🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.42%E -1.93%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.13%E -4.56%K -9.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-07 13:09
Casumo🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.42%E -1.93%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.13%E -4.56%K -9.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-07 13:09
LeoVegas🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.42%E -1.93%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.13%E -4.56%K -9.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-07 13:10
Grosvenor🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.42%E -1.93%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.13%E -4.56%K -9.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-07 13:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.42%E -1.93%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.13%E -4.56%K -9.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-07 13:09
SportsBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -3.97%E -2.25%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.86%E -3.34%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-07 13:09
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.51%E -2.58%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.86%E -3.34%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-07 13:09
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.51%E -2.58%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.13%E -4.56%K -9.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-07 13:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.51%E -2.58%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.13%E -4.56%K -9.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-07 13:09
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.60%E -3.24%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.13%E -4.56%K -9.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-07 13:07
Pinnacle🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.24%E -4.26%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -5.95%E -2.87%K -5.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-07 02:49
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.88%E -5.32%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.041%E -0.019%K -0.034%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-07 12:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.40%EV -8.88%E -5.32%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.60%EV -1.86%E -0.860%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-06 15:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.78%EV -12.70%E -7.94%K -21.16%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.22%EV -0.496%E -0.226%K -0.416%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-07 07:40
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%0.5%2026-06-07 13:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-06-07 13:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-06-07 13:19
Matchbook◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.1%2026-06-07 13:20
Smarkets◎1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%2.0%2026-06-07 13:20