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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Zimbabwe v Australia

开赛时间： 2026-09-15 07:30 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

28 家博彩公司 (6 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Zimbabwe (主队)

预测 12.99%7.70公平赔率
EV +10.42%
优势 +1.23%
Kelly +1.39%
增长率 +0.145%

假设最高赔率为 8.50

博彩公司预测分布
11.18%13.16%12.79%15.73%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
6.007.176.888.5016.67%13.95%14.55%11.76%最小值均值中位数最大值

Australia (客队)

预测 87.01%1.15公平赔率
EV -2.55%
优势 -2.28%
Kelly -21.24%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.12

博彩公司预测分布
84.27%86.84%87.21%88.82%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.071.091.081.1293.46%91.50%92.17%89.29%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Zimbabwe (主队)：12.99%；Australia (客队)：87.01%。 对于“Zimbabwe (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为7.70。 当时有13家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为8.50，对应+10.42%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (28 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
GTbets🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +10.42%E +1.23%K +1.39%G +0.145%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.90%E -6.45%K -98.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-14 15:00
Pinnacle🎯8.22I 12.17%NM 11.61%EV +6.78%E +0.825%K +0.939%G +0.064%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.39%EV -6.03%E -5.58%K -75.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 07:41
TABtouch🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.92%E +0.490%K +0.560%G +0.022%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.03%E -5.58%K -75.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 07:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.92%E +0.490%K +0.560%G +0.022%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.03%E -5.58%K -75.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 07:10
Virgin Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.92%E +0.490%K +0.560%G +0.022%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.03%E -5.58%K -75.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 07:10
Unibet (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.92%E +0.490%K +0.560%G +0.022%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.03%E -5.58%K -75.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 07:10
Casumo🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.92%E +0.490%K +0.560%G +0.022%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.03%E -5.58%K -75.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 07:10
LiveScore Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.92%E +0.490%K +0.560%G +0.022%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.03%E -5.58%K -75.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 07:10
Grosvenor🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.92%E +0.490%K +0.560%G +0.022%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.03%E -5.58%K -75.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 07:10
Unibet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.92%E +0.490%K +0.560%G +0.022%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.03%E -5.58%K -75.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 07:10
ATG (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.92%E +0.490%K +0.560%G +0.022%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.03%E -5.58%K -75.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 07:10
BoyleSports🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.92%E +0.490%K +0.560%G +0.022%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.03%E -5.58%K -75.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 07:06
DraftKings🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +3.92%E +0.490%K +0.560%G +0.022%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.90%E -6.45%K -98.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-14 15:00
Sky Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.07%E -1.30%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.29%E -3.90%K -42.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 07:15
PlayUp🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -12.32%E -1.82%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.42%E -3.08%K -31.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-15 07:25
Marathon Bet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -12.32%E -1.82%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.32%EV -6.90%E -6.45%K -98.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-15 07:25
Paddy Power🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -15.56%E -2.39%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.42%E -3.08%K -31.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-15 07:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -15.56%E -2.39%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.42%E -3.08%K -31.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-15 07:20
Coral🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -15.56%E -2.39%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.42%E -3.08%K -31.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-15 07:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -15.56%E -2.39%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.42%E -3.08%K -31.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-15 07:25
SportsBet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -15.56%E -2.39%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.29%E -3.90%K -42.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-15 07:14
TAB🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -15.56%E -2.39%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.29%E -3.90%K -42.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-15 07:20
Bet Right🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -18.81%E -3.01%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -2.55%E -2.28%K -21.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 07:25
Betr (AU)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -18.81%E -3.01%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -3.42%E -3.08%K -31.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-15 07:25
Neds🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -22.06%E -3.68%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -2.55%E -2.28%K -21.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-15 07:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -22.06%E -3.68%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -2.55%E -2.28%K -21.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-15 07:20
betano_uk🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -22.06%E -3.68%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.29%E -3.90%K -42.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-15 07:24
Bet Victor🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -22.06%E -3.68%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -5.16%E -4.73%K -57.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-15 07:16
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎7.60I 13.16%NM 13.14%1.15I 86.96%NM 86.86%0.1%2026-09-15 07:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11%1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89%0.7%2026-09-15 07:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62%1.0%2026-09-15 07:25