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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Zimbabwe v Australia

开赛时间： 2026-09-18 07:30 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

28 家博彩公司 (6 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Zimbabwe (主队)

预测 16.14%6.20公平赔率
EV +23.61%
优势 +3.08%
Kelly +3.54%
增长率 +0.837%

假设最高赔率为 7.66

博彩公司预测分布
12.46%15.93%16.39%20.77%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.505.735.887.6622.22%17.47%17.02%13.05%最小值均值中位数最大值

Australia (客队)

预测 83.86%1.19公平赔率
EV -1.04%
优势 -0.883%
Kelly -5.79%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.18

博彩公司预测分布
79.23%84.07%83.61%87.54%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.091.131.131.1891.74%88.22%88.50%84.75%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Zimbabwe (主队)：16.14%；Australia (客队)：83.86%。 对于“Zimbabwe (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.20。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为7.66，对应+23.61%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (28 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯7.66I 13.05%NM 12.46%EV +23.61%E +3.08%K +3.54%G +0.837%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.54%EV -8.59%E -7.88%K -95.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 07:15
GTbets🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +4.89%E +0.752%K +0.889%G +0.043%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -7.75%E -7.05%K -77.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 07:25
DraftKings🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +4.89%E +0.752%K +0.889%G +0.043%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -7.75%E -7.05%K -77.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 07:05
Unibet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.18%E -0.530%K -0.636%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.23%E -4.63%K -40.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-18 07:20
Casumo🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.18%E -0.530%K -0.636%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.23%E -4.63%K -40.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-18 07:20
Grosvenor🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.18%E -0.530%K -0.636%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.23%E -4.63%K -40.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-18 07:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.18%E -0.530%K -0.636%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.23%E -4.63%K -40.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-18 07:20
Unibet (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.18%E -0.530%K -0.636%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.23%E -4.63%K -40.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-18 07:20
LiveScore Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.18%E -0.530%K -0.636%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.23%E -4.63%K -40.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-18 07:20
Virgin Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.18%E -0.530%K -0.636%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.23%E -4.63%K -40.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-18 07:20
TABtouch🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.18%E -0.530%K -0.636%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.23%E -4.63%K -40.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-18 07:20
ATG (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.18%E -0.530%K -0.636%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.23%E -4.63%K -40.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-18 07:20
Sky Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.18%E -0.530%K -0.636%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.23%E -4.63%K -40.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-18 07:10
BoyleSports🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.18%E -0.530%K -0.636%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.07%E -5.42%K -50.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-18 07:10
SportsBet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -7.21%E -1.25%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.23%E -4.63%K -40.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 07:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -11.25%E -2.04%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.56%E -3.09%K -23.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 07:15
Coral🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.25%E -2.04%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.40%E -3.86%K -31.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 07:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.25%E -2.04%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.40%E -3.86%K -31.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 07:25
Paddy Power🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.25%E -2.04%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.40%E -3.86%K -31.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 07:10
Marathon Bet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.05%EV -12.86%E -2.38%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 82.95%EV -6.91%E -6.23%K -62.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 07:25
PlayUp🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -15.28%E -2.91%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -2.72%E -2.34%K -16.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 07:20
Betr (AU)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -15.28%E -2.91%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -3.56%E -3.09%K -23.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-18 07:15
Neds🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -15.28%E -2.91%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.40%E -3.86%K -31.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 07:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -15.28%E -2.91%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.40%E -3.86%K -31.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 07:25
Bet Right🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -19.32%E -3.86%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -1.88%E -1.61%K -11.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-18 07:20
Bet Victor🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -19.32%E -3.86%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.40%E -3.86%K -31.40%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 07:14
betano_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -19.32%E -3.86%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.40%E -3.86%K -31.40%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 07:24
TAB🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -27.38%E -6.09%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -1.04%E -0.883%K -5.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 07:20
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎6.20I 16.13%NM 16.10%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.90%0.2%2026-09-18 07:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%0.9%2026-09-18 07:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%0.9%2026-09-18 07:25