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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Kolkata Knight Riders v Punjab Kings

开赛时间： 2026-04-06 14:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

27 家博彩公司 (7 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Kolkata Knight Riders (主队)

预测 42.61%2.35公平赔率
EV -1.99%
优势 -0.866%
Kelly -1.53%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.30

博彩公司预测分布
41.10%42.70%42.86%47.37%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.002.232.252.3050.00%44.93%44.44%43.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

Punjab Kings (客队)

预测 57.39%1.74公平赔率
EV +3.30%
优势 +1.83%
Kelly +4.12%
增长率 +0.136%

假设最高赔率为 1.80

博彩公司预测分布
52.63%57.30%57.14%58.90%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.571.651.651.8063.69%60.69%60.61%55.56%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Kolkata Knight Riders (主队)：42.61%；Punjab Kings (客队)：57.39%。 对于“Punjab Kings (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.74。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为1.80，对应+3.30%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (27 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -14.77%E -7.39%K -14.77%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +3.30%E +1.83%K +4.12%G +0.136%5.6%2026-04-06 09:15
GTbets🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -10.51%E -5.01%K -9.56%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -1.29%E -0.752%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 13:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -4.55%E -2.03%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -3.02%E -1.78%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-06 13:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -4.55%E -2.03%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -3.02%E -1.78%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-06 13:45
Pinnacle🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -2.84%E -1.25%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%EV -4.16%E -2.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-06 13:45
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.25%E -2.84%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.16%E -2.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 13:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%EV -11.37%E -5.46%K -10.52%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -4.16%E -2.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 13:45
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.99%E -0.866%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.31%E -3.22%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 13:45
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.12%E -1.83%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.31%E -3.22%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 13:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.12%E -1.83%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.31%E -3.22%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 13:45
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.12%E -1.83%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.31%E -3.22%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 13:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.12%E -1.83%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.31%E -3.22%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 13:45
Casumo🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.12%E -1.83%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.31%E -3.22%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 13:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.12%E -1.83%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.31%E -3.22%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 13:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.12%E -1.83%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.31%E -3.22%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 13:45
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.12%E -1.83%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.31%E -3.22%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 13:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.12%E -1.83%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.31%E -3.22%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 13:45
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.25%E -2.84%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.31%E -3.22%K -8.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 13:45
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.12%E -1.83%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.46%E -3.96%K -10.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 13:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.99%E -0.866%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.03%E -4.34%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 13:45
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.12%E -1.83%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.03%E -4.34%K -11.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 13:45
TAB🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.12%E -1.83%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.03%E -4.34%K -11.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 13:43
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -4.12%E -1.83%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.61%E -4.72%K -12.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 13:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -4.12%E -1.83%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.61%E -4.72%K -12.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 13:45
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -8.38%E -3.90%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.64%EV -9.33%E -5.90%K -16.08%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 13:45
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -4.12%E -1.83%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.90%E -6.31%K -17.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-06 13:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -4.12%E -1.83%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.90%E -6.31%K -17.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-06 13:44
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 41.26%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.74%0.1%2026-04-06 13:45
Matchbook◎2.42I 41.32%NM 41.26%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.74%0.1%2026-04-06 13:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%0.2%2026-04-06 13:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%0.2%2026-04-06 13:45