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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Chennai Super Kings v Mumbai Indians

开赛时间： 2026-05-02 14:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

30 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chennai Super Kings (主队)

预测 45.13%2.22公平赔率
EV -0.709%
优势 -0.322%
Kelly -0.591%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.20

博彩公司预测分布
43.73%45.12%45.17%45.91%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.042.102.102.2049.02%47.63%47.62%45.45%最小值均值中位数最大值

Mumbai Indians (客队)

预测 54.87%1.82公平赔率
EV -2.34%
优势 -1.31%
Kelly -2.99%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.78

博彩公司预测分布
54.09%54.88%54.83%56.27%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.651.721.731.7860.61%58.23%57.97%56.18%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Chennai Super Kings (主队)：45.13%；Mumbai Indians (客队)：54.87%。 对于“Chennai Super Kings (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.22。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.20，期望值为-0.709%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (30 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
BetOnline.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -0.709%E -0.322%K -0.591%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -6.18%E -3.61%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-02 13:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -0.709%E -0.322%K -0.591%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -6.18%E -3.61%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-02 13:54
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -2.97%E -1.38%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.98%E -2.28%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-02 13:45
Pinnacle🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -2.34%E -1.31%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-02 13:55
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.08%E -2.94%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 13:41
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.08%E -2.94%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 13:40
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.08%E -2.94%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 07:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.08%E -2.94%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 13:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.08%E -2.94%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 13:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.08%E -2.94%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 13:40
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.08%E -2.94%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 13:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.08%E -2.94%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 13:40
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.08%E -2.94%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 13:40
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.08%E -2.94%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 08:44
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.08%E -2.94%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 11:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.08%E -2.94%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 13:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.63%E -3.27%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 13:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.63%E -3.27%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 13:35
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.63%E -3.27%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 13:35
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.63%E -3.27%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 11:15
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.18%E -3.61%K -8.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 13:55
TAB🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.73%E -3.96%K -9.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 00:00
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.37%E -5.01%K -12.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 13:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.37%E -5.01%K -12.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 13:00
GTbets🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -6.12%E -2.94%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -6.18%E -3.61%K -8.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 13:55
TABtouch🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -7.03%E -3.41%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -6.73%E -3.96%K -9.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:40
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.53%E -2.60%K -6.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 13:55
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.27%E -4.30%K -10.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 11:31
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -9.47%E -5.74%K -14.57%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 13:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.31%EV -7.93%E -3.89%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.69%EV -7.27%E -4.30%K -10.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 11:20
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80%0.1%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-05-02 13:55
Matchbook◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-05-02 13:55