New Zealand v South Africa

开赛时间： 2026-03-15 06:15 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

28 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

63%

37%

模型估计的各赛果概率：IQM

New Zealand (主队)

预测 63.43%1.58公平赔率

EV -2.32%

优势 -1.51%

Kelly -4.30%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.54

博彩公司预测分布

62.19%63.49%63.35%64.65%MIN均值中位数MAX

赔率分布

1.441.491.501.5469.44%66.92%66.67%64.94%MIN均值中位数MAX

South Africa (客队)

预测 36.57%2.73公平赔率

EV -2.35%

优势 -0.880%

Kelly -1.41%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.67

博彩公司预测分布

35.35%36.51%36.65%37.81%MIN均值中位数MAX

赔率分布

2.502.592.602.6740.00%38.55%38.46%37.45%MIN均值中位数MAX

有 3 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (28 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
BetOnline.ag	1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -2.32%E -1.51%K -4.30%G +0.000%	2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -4.54%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-03-14 22:59
PlayUp	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.59%E -2.36%K -6.91%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.74%E -2.64%K -4.35%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-03-14 16:50
TAB	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.59%E -2.36%K -6.91%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.57%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-03-14 16:49
Pinnacle	1.50I 66.67%NM 64.03%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.72%G +0.000%	2.67I 37.45%NM 35.97%EV -2.35%E -0.880%K -1.41%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-03-15 05:30
Paddy Power	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.72%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.18%E -1.59%K -2.58%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-03-15 06:05
GTbets	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.72%G +0.000%	2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV -4.54%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-03-15 05:30
Ladbrokes (AU)	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.72%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.91%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-15 06:10
Neds	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.72%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.91%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-15 06:10
ATG (SE)	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.72%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.91%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-15 05:50
Grosvenor	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.72%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.91%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-15 05:50
LeoVegas (SE)	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.72%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.91%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-15 05:50
LiveScore Bet	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.72%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.91%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-15 05:50
Unibet (SE)	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.72%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.91%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-15 05:50
LeoVegas	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.72%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.91%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-15 05:50
Virgin Bet	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.72%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.91%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-15 05:50
Casumo	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.72%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.91%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-15 05:50
TABtouch	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.72%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.91%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-15 05:50
Unibet	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.72%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.91%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-15 05:50
BoyleSports	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.72%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.91%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-14 20:55
DraftKings	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.72%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.74%E -2.64%K -4.35%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-03-15 06:10
William Hill	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.72%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.57%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-03-15 05:50
Bet Right	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.13%E -4.14%K -12.77%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.08%E -1.16%K -1.87%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-15 06:10
FanDuel	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.13%E -4.14%K -12.77%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.91%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-03-15 06:05
PointsBet (AU)	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.13%E -4.14%K -12.77%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.74%E -2.64%K -4.35%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-03-15 06:10
Betr (AU)	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.76%E -4.60%K -14.39%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.08%E -1.16%K -1.87%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-03-15 06:10
SportsBet	1.46I 68.49%NM 64.65%EV -7.40%E -5.07%K -16.08%G +0.000%	2.67I 37.45%NM 35.35%EV -2.35%E -0.880%K -1.41%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-03-15 06:10
Betway	1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.03%E -5.54%K -17.85%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.57%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-03-15 06:05
Bet Victor	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.69%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -4.91%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-03-15 06:08

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)	1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68%	2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32%	0.4%	2026-03-15 06:10
Matchbook	1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%	2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%	0.5%	2026-03-15 06:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)	1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%	2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%	0.6%	2026-03-15 06:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%	2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%	0.6%	2026-03-15 06:10

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (3)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司	选项 1	选项 2	选项 3	利润率 ▲	更新时间
888sport	1.44I 69.44%NM 61.76%	2.45I 40.82%NM 36.30%	46.00I 2.17%NM 1.93%	12.4%	2026-03-15 05:50
Mr Green (SE)	1.44I 69.44%NM 61.76%	2.45I 40.82%NM 36.30%	46.00I 2.17%NM 1.93%	12.4%	2026-03-15 05:50
888sport (SE)	1.44I 69.44%NM 61.76%	2.45I 40.82%NM 36.30%	46.00I 2.17%NM 1.93%	12.4%	2026-03-15 05:50