La scuola delle quote

Namibia v Scotland

Inizio: 2026-04-18 12:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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29 bookmaker (9 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Namibia (Casa)

Previsione 34.16%2.93quota equa
EV +6.25%
Vantaggio +2.01%
Kelly +2.96%
Crescita +0.185%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.11

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.89%34.36%33.73%38.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.402.822.883.1141.67%35.47%34.72%32.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Scotland (Trasferta)

Previsione 65.84%1.52quota equa
EV +0.073%
Vantaggio +0.048%
Kelly +0.141%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.52

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
61.86%65.64%66.27%69.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.361.421.401.5273.53%70.66%71.43%65.79%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (29 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
BetOnline.ag3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV +6.25%E +2.01%K +2.96%G +0.185%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -8.49%E -6.10%K -21.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-18 06:50
Unibet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV +2.49%E +0.829%K +1.24%G +0.031%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -9.80%E -7.16%K -26.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-17 18:14
LiveScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV +2.49%E +0.829%K +1.24%G +0.031%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -9.80%E -7.16%K -26.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-17 18:19
Virgin Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV +2.49%E +0.829%K +1.24%G +0.031%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -9.80%E -7.16%K -26.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-17 18:19
Casumo3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +2.49%E +0.829%K +1.24%G +0.031%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -10.46%E -7.69%K -29.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 18:14
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +2.49%E +0.829%K +1.24%G +0.031%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -10.46%E -7.69%K -29.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 18:19
Grosvenor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +2.49%E +0.829%K +1.24%G +0.031%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -10.46%E -7.69%K -29.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 18:19
LeoVegas3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +2.49%E +0.829%K +1.24%G +0.031%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -10.46%E -7.69%K -29.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 18:19
TABtouch3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +2.49%E +0.829%K +1.24%G +0.031%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -10.46%E -7.69%K -29.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 18:19
ATG (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +2.49%E +0.829%K +1.24%G +0.031%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -10.46%E -7.69%K -29.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 18:19
LeoVegas (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +2.49%E +0.829%K +1.24%G +0.031%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -10.46%E -7.69%K -29.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 18:29
Pinnacle2.99I 33.44%NM 32.05%EV +2.15%E +0.718%K +1.08%G +0.023%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.95%EV -7.17%E -5.08%K -17.49%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-18 09:25
GTbets2.92I 34.25%NM 32.09%EV -0.246%E -0.084%K -0.128%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.91%EV -9.14%E -6.63%K -24.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 11:35
SportsBet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.929%E -0.320%K -0.489%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.83%E -5.59%K -19.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 11:44
FanDuel2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.61%E -0.560%K -0.858%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.83%E -5.59%K -19.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 11:44
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.61%E -0.560%K -0.858%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.83%E -5.59%K -19.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 11:45
DraftKings2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -2.64%E -0.925%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.51%E -4.58%K -15.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 11:34
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.51%E -4.58%K -15.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 11:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.51%E -4.58%K -15.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 11:44
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.05%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.83%E -5.59%K -19.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 11:45
TAB2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.76%E -2.87%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.54%E -3.13%K -10.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 11:45
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.49%E -4.01%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.19%E -3.61%K -11.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 11:55
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -11.18%E -4.30%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.19%E -3.61%K -11.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 11:53
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -12.89%E -5.05%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV +0.073%E +0.048%K +0.141%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 11:54
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -12.89%E -5.05%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV +0.073%E +0.048%K +0.141%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 11:55
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -12.89%E -5.05%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV +0.073%E +0.048%K +0.141%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 11:54
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -14.59%E -5.84%K -9.73%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV +0.073%E +0.048%K +0.141%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 11:54
NordicBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -18.01%E -7.50%K -12.86%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -2.56%E -1.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 11:54
Betsson2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -18.01%E -7.50%K -12.86%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -2.56%E -1.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 11:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-04-18 11:55
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-04-18 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%3.0%2026-04-18 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%3.4%2026-04-18 11:55