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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Saint Lucia Kings v Jamaica Kingsmen

开赛时间： 2026-08-21 23:01 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

18 家博彩公司 (5 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Saint Lucia Kings (主队)

预测 53.58%1.87公平赔率
EV -2.49%
优势 -1.37%
Kelly -3.04%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.82

博彩公司预测分布
51.47%53.40%53.62%54.83%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.731.771.771.8257.80%56.64%56.50%54.95%最小值均值中位数最大值

Jamaica Kingsmen (客队)

预测 46.42%2.15公平赔率
EV -2.51%
优势 -1.19%
Kelly -2.28%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.10

博彩公司预测分布
45.17%46.60%46.38%48.53%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.932.052.062.1051.81%48.81%48.54%47.62%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Saint Lucia Kings (主队)：53.58%；Jamaica Kingsmen (客队)：46.42%。 对于“Saint Lucia Kings (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.87。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为1.82，期望值为-2.49%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (18 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -2.49%E -1.37%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -10.40%E -5.39%K -11.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-21 22:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.51%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-21 22:49
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.56%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.51%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-21 22:49
Unibet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.17%E -2.92%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.36%E -2.12%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 22:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.17%E -2.92%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.36%E -2.12%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 22:55
Grosvenor🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.17%E -2.92%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.36%E -2.12%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 22:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.17%E -2.92%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.36%E -2.12%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 22:55
TABtouch🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.17%E -2.92%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.36%E -2.12%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 22:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.17%E -2.92%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.36%E -2.12%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 22:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.17%E -2.92%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.36%E -2.12%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 22:55
Casumo🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.17%E -2.92%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.36%E -2.12%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 22:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.17%E -2.92%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.36%E -2.12%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 22:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.56%EV -5.71%E -3.24%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -9.47%E -4.86%K -9.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-21 22:55
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.24%E -3.57%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.51%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-21 22:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.32%E -4.23%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.51%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 22:55
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV -7.32%E -4.23%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -4.36%E -2.12%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-21 22:55
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.32%E -4.23%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-21 22:55
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.32%E -4.23%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.15%E -3.58%K -7.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-21 22:53
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-08-21 22:53
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-08-21 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-08-21 22:55