The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Justis Huni v Frazer Clarke

Kickoff: 2026-04-11 18:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Justis Huni (Local)

Prediction 82.40%1.21fair odd
EV -4.42%
Edge -3.81%
Kelly -27.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
81.30%82.79%82.30%86.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.131.141.1690.91%88.31%87.72%86.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Frazer Clarke (Visit)

Prediction 17.60%5.68fair odd
EV +23.20%
Edge +3.31%
Kelly +3.87%
Growth +0.897%

assuming max odds 7.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.58%17.21%17.70%18.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.715.757.0020.00%17.53%17.39%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Justis Huni (Local): 82.40%; Frazer Clarke (Visit): 17.60%. For Frazer Clarke (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.68. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +23.20%.

25 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -9.36%E -8.51%K -93.60%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +23.20%E +3.31%K +3.87%G +0.897%5.2%2026-04-11 17:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -9.36%E -8.51%K -93.60%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +23.20%E +3.31%K +3.87%G +0.897%5.2%2026-04-11 17:29
BetUS🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.58%EV -8.54%E -7.69%K -77.60%G +0.000%6.59I 15.17%NM 14.42%EV +15.99%E +2.43%K +2.86%G +0.457%5.3%2026-04-11 17:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.06%E -5.32%K -43.32%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +1.20%E +0.209%K +0.253%G +0.003%5.1%2026-04-11 16:59
BetRivers🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.06%E -5.32%K -43.32%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +1.20%E +0.209%K +0.253%G +0.003%5.1%2026-04-11 17:00
Bally Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.06%E -5.32%K -43.32%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +1.20%E +0.209%K +0.253%G +0.003%5.1%2026-04-11 17:00
betPARX🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.06%E -5.32%K -43.32%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +1.20%E +0.209%K +0.253%G +0.003%5.1%2026-04-11 17:00
PlayUp🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.89%E -6.10%K -52.99%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV +1.20%E +0.209%K +0.253%G +0.003%5.9%2026-04-11 17:45
Bet Right🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -7.71%E -6.89%K -64.27%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV +1.20%E +0.209%K +0.253%G +0.003%6.7%2026-04-11 17:05
DraftKings🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.06%E -5.32%K -43.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.20%E -0.581%K -0.711%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-07 11:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.89%E -6.10%K -52.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -3.20%E -0.581%K -0.711%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 17:05
Pinnacle🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.18%EV -4.42%E -3.81%K -27.60%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.82%EV -5.84%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 16:20
FanDuel🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -6.89%E -6.10%K -52.99%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -6.72%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 11:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.06%E -5.32%K -43.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -7.60%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 06:22
Bovada🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.24%E -4.56%K -34.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -12.00%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 18:10
theScore Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.06%E -5.32%K -43.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -12.00%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 18:10
BetMGM🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.06%E -5.32%K -43.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -12.00%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-09 14:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (25)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.22I 81.97%NM 80.98%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.93%32.00I 3.13%NM 3.09%1.2%2026-04-11 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.21I 82.64%NM 81.10%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.83%32.00I 3.13%NM 3.07%1.9%2026-04-11 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.22I 81.97%NM 80.33%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.61%32.00I 3.13%NM 3.06%2.0%2026-04-11 18:10
SportsBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.67%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.93%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.40%8.2%2026-04-06 11:09
NordicBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.23%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.65%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.13%8.4%2026-04-11 17:45
Betsson🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.23%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.65%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.13%8.4%2026-04-11 17:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.47%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.69%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.83%8.9%2026-04-06 13:00
Coral🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.47%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.69%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.83%8.9%2026-04-06 12:59
Betway🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.47%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.69%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.83%8.9%2026-04-11 11:59
LeoVegas🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.09%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.82%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.10%9.0%2026-04-11 17:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.09%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.82%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.10%9.0%2026-04-11 17:00
Grosvenor🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.09%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.82%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.10%9.0%2026-04-11 17:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.09%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.82%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.10%9.0%2026-04-11 16:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.09%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.82%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.10%9.0%2026-04-11 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.09%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.82%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.10%9.0%2026-04-11 17:00
Unibet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.09%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.82%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.10%9.0%2026-04-11 17:00
TABtouch🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.09%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.82%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.10%9.0%2026-04-11 17:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.09%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.82%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.10%9.0%2026-04-11 17:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.09%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.82%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.10%9.0%2026-04-11 17:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.09%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.82%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.10%9.0%2026-04-11 17:00
888sport🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 78.84%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.04%10.3%2026-04-11 17:44
Paddy Power🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 79.27%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.30%10.7%2026-04-06 11:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 79.27%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.30%10.7%2026-04-11 09:20
William Hill🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 77.19%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.75%10.7%2026-04-09 09:49
1xBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 79.38%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.02%19.50I 5.13%NM 4.60%11.5%2026-04-11 17:54