A Escola das Odds

Seattle Storm v Golden State Valkyries

Início: 2026-05-09 02:08 UTC

Final: Seattle Storm 80–91 Golden State Valkyries

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

44 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Seattle Storm (Local)

Previsão 32.71%3.06odd justa
EV +1.42%
Vantagem +0.457%
Kelly +0.674%
Crescimento +0.010%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.63%32.69%32.87%34.37%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.602.882.853.1038.46%34.72%35.09%32.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Golden State Valkyries (Visitante)

Previsão 67.29%1.49odd justa
EV -1.76%
Vantagem -1.21%
Kelly -3.83%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.46

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
65.63%67.31%67.13%69.37%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.361.421.421.4673.53%70.45%70.18%68.49%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (44 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +1.42%E +0.457%K +0.674%G +0.010%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -7.15%E -5.18%K -18.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 01:59
SportsBet3.08I 32.47%NM 30.63%EV +0.762%E +0.247%K +0.366%G +0.003%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.37%EV -8.49%E -6.24%K -23.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 01:59
BetUS3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -0.219%E -0.072%K -0.107%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.80%E -4.14%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-08 23:44
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%EV -1.86%E -0.618%K -0.928%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%EV -2.44%E -1.68%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-09 01:57
Bovada3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.86%E -0.618%K -0.928%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.46%E -3.14%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-09 01:43
theScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.86%E -0.618%K -0.928%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.46%E -3.14%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-09 01:59
Pinnacle3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.86%E -0.618%K -0.928%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.46%E -3.14%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-09 01:59
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.86%E -0.618%K -0.928%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.80%E -4.14%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 00:49
Caesars2.96I 33.78%NM 32.42%EV -3.16%E -1.07%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.58%EV -4.46%E -3.14%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-09 01:53
BetAnything2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.49%E -1.18%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.78%E -2.65%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-09 01:20
DraftKings2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -3.49%E -1.18%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.46%E -3.14%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 01:54
GTbets2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -3.49%E -1.18%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.13%E -3.64%K -12.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 01:54
LowVig.ag2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -4.47%E -1.53%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -3.78%E -2.65%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-09 01:19
BetOnline.ag2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -4.47%E -1.53%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -3.78%E -2.65%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-09 01:19
1xBet2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV -5.13%E -1.77%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%EV -1.76%E -1.21%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-08 17:14
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.13%E -1.77%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.78%E -2.65%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-08 20:43
MyBookie.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.13%E -1.77%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.46%E -3.14%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 23:54
Unibet (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.13%E -1.77%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.46%E -3.14%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 23:50
ReBet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.13%E -1.77%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.46%E -3.14%K -10.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 23:49
TAB2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.13%E -1.77%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.80%E -4.14%K -14.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 01:53
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -5.78%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.49%E -6.24%K -23.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 01:59
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.76%E -2.37%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.78%E -2.65%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 23:30
Bet Right2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.76%E -2.37%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.78%E -2.65%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 23:30
Betway2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.76%E -2.37%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.78%E -2.65%K -8.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 01:59
Hard Rock Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.76%E -2.37%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.46%E -3.14%K -10.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 23:49
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -6.76%E -2.37%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.13%E -3.64%K -12.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 01:54
NordicBet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.76%E -2.37%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.80%E -4.14%K -14.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 23:50
Betsson2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -6.76%E -2.37%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.80%E -4.14%K -14.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 23:49
Fliff2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -6.76%E -2.37%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -8.49%E -6.24%K -23.59%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 23:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -8.40%E -3.00%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.11%E -2.16%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 01:59
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -8.40%E -3.00%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.11%E -2.16%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 01:59
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -8.40%E -3.00%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.11%E -2.16%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 00:49
Bally Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -8.40%E -3.00%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.11%E -2.16%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 00:49
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -8.40%E -3.00%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.11%E -2.16%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 00:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -8.40%E -3.00%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.11%E -2.16%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 00:49
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -8.40%E -3.00%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.11%E -2.16%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 00:49
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -8.40%E -3.00%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.11%E -2.16%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 00:49
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -8.40%E -3.00%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.11%E -2.16%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 00:49
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -8.40%E -3.00%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.11%E -2.16%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 00:49
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -8.40%E -3.00%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.11%E -2.16%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 00:49
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -8.40%E -3.00%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.11%E -2.16%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 00:49
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.40%E -3.00%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.80%E -4.14%K -14.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 23:49
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.03%E -3.65%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.11%E -2.16%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 00:49
PMU (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.34%EV -14.94%E -5.75%K -9.34%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.66%EV -8.49%E -6.24%K -23.59%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-09 00:49
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%1.2%2026-05-09 01:59
Novig3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%1.2%2026-05-09 02:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%1.2%2026-05-09 01:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28%1.7%2026-05-09 02:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28%1.7%2026-05-09 02:00