La escuela de los momios

Seattle Storm v Dallas Wings

Inicio: 2026-06-23 02:00 UTC

Final: Seattle Storm 110–112 Dallas Wings

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Seattle Storm (Local)

Predicción 21.79%4.59momio equitativo
EV +8.94%
Ventaja +1.79%
Kelly +2.23%
Crecimiento +0.200%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.35%21.77%21.76%23.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.854.324.305.0025.97%23.12%23.26%20.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Dallas Wings (Visitante)

Predicción 78.21%1.28momio equitativo
EV -3.02%
Ventaja -2.43%
Kelly -12.57%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.24

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
76.39%78.23%78.24%80.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.191.221.221.2484.03%82.12%81.97%80.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Bet Victor5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV +8.94%E +1.79%K +2.23%G +0.200%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -6.15%E -5.12%K -30.73%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-23 01:48
Fliff4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV +1.31%E +0.282%K +0.360%G +0.005%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -6.93%E -5.82%K -36.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-23 01:39
Pinnacle4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV +0.224%E +0.049%K +0.062%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.58%E -3.76%K -20.82%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-23 01:20
GTbets4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.95%E -0.434%K -0.558%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.58%E -3.76%K -20.82%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-23 01:19
BetMGM4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.95%E -0.434%K -0.558%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.58%E -3.76%K -20.82%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-23 00:19
LowVig.ag4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.95%E -0.434%K -0.558%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.58%E -3.76%K -20.82%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-22 22:00
BetOnline.ag4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.95%E -0.434%K -0.558%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.58%E -3.76%K -20.82%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-22 22:00
Betway4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.95%E -0.434%K -0.558%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.58%E -3.76%K -20.82%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-23 01:39
Bet Right4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.95%E -0.434%K -0.558%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.36%E -4.43%K -25.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-23 01:50
1xBet4.46I 22.42%NM 21.48%EV -2.83%E -0.634%K -0.817%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.52%EV -4.58%E -3.76%K -20.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-23 01:10
Caesars4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -3.04%E -0.684%K -0.882%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -4.58%E -3.76%K -20.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-22 21:59
Betr (AU)4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -3.04%E -0.684%K -0.882%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -5.36%E -4.43%K -25.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 01:50
Bovada4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -3.04%E -0.684%K -0.882%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -5.36%E -4.43%K -25.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 01:18
Fanatics4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.13%E -0.939%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.58%E -3.76%K -20.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-23 00:00
theScore Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.13%E -0.939%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.58%E -3.76%K -20.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-22 19:59
BetUS4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.13%E -0.939%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.58%E -3.76%K -20.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-22 21:59
Unibet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.13%E -0.939%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.58%E -3.76%K -20.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-23 01:49
Bally Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.13%E -0.939%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.58%E -3.76%K -20.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-23 01:49
SportsBet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.13%E -0.939%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.15%E -5.12%K -30.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-23 01:50
BetAnything4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.31%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.80%E -3.09%K -16.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-23 00:20
FanDuel4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.31%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.58%E -3.76%K -20.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-23 01:50
ReBet4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.31%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.58%E -3.76%K -20.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-22 23:19
MyBookie.ag4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.31%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.58%E -3.76%K -20.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-22 23:29
Coolbet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.31%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.36%E -4.43%K -25.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-23 01:49
Betsson4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.31%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.15%E -5.12%K -30.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-22 23:19
NordicBet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.31%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.15%E -5.12%K -30.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-22 23:19
Unibet (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -7.40%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.80%E -3.09%K -16.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 01:50
Unibet (NL)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -7.40%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.80%E -3.09%K -16.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 01:50
Svenska Spel4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -7.40%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.80%E -3.09%K -16.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 01:50
Hard Rock Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.40%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.58%E -3.76%K -20.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-22 15:19
Neds4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.40%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.58%E -3.76%K -20.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-23 00:19
Ladbrokes (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.40%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.58%E -3.76%K -20.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-23 00:19
Unibet (UK)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.40%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.36%E -4.43%K -25.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-23 01:39
DraftKings4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -8.49%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.02%E -2.43%K -12.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-22 22:20
betPARX4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -8.49%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.80%E -3.09%K -16.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 01:50
LeoVegas (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -8.49%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.80%E -3.09%K -16.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 01:50
LeoVegas4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -8.49%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.80%E -3.09%K -16.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 01:50
ATG (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -8.49%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.80%E -3.09%K -16.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 01:50
888sport4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.49%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.58%E -3.76%K -20.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 15:20
888sport (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.49%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.58%E -3.76%K -20.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 15:20
Mr Green (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.49%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.58%E -3.76%K -20.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 01:59
TAB4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.49%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.58%E -3.76%K -20.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 23:29
BetRivers4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -10.67%E -2.60%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -3.80%E -3.09%K -16.52%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-23 01:50
TABtouch4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -10.67%E -2.60%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -3.80%E -3.09%K -16.52%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-23 01:50
BoyleSports4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.67%E -2.60%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.15%E -5.12%K -30.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-22 23:19
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.85%E -3.21%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.15%E -5.12%K -30.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-23 01:49
PMU (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -16.12%E -4.19%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 76.39%EV -6.93%E -5.82%K -36.46%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-23 01:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (8)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook4.70I 21.28%NM 21.27%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.73%0.0%2026-06-23 01:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%0.5%2026-06-23 00:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%0.5%2026-06-23 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%0.5%2026-06-23 00:00
ProphetX4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%0.6%2026-06-23 01:20
Polymarket4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20%1.0%2026-06-23 01:50
Kalshi4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20%1.0%2026-06-22 15:30
Novig4.55I 21.98%NM 21.42%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.58%2.6%2026-06-23 01:50