Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Seattle Storm v Connecticut Sun

Início: 2026-05-23 02:01 UTC

Final: Seattle Storm 77–59 Connecticut Sun

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Seattle Storm (Local)

Previsão 54.18%1.85odd justa
EV -1.38%
Vantagem -0.760%
Kelly -1.69%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.82

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.36%54.13%54.26%55.70%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.671.771.771.8259.88%56.62%56.50%54.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Connecticut Sun (Visitante)

Previsão 45.82%2.18odd justa
EV -1.50%
Vantagem -0.696%
Kelly -1.30%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.30%45.87%45.74%47.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.872.062.082.1553.48%48.54%48.19%46.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Seattle Storm (Local): 54.18%; Connecticut Sun (Visitante): 45.82%. Para Seattle Storm (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.85. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.82, com valor esperado de -1.38%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
BetRivers🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -1.38%E -0.760%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -8.37%E -4.18%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 01:59
Unibet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -1.38%E -0.760%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -8.37%E -4.18%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 01:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -1.38%E -0.760%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -8.37%E -4.18%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 01:59
LeoVegas🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -1.38%E -0.760%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -8.37%E -4.18%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 01:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -1.38%E -0.760%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -8.37%E -4.18%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 01:59
TABtouch🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -1.38%E -0.760%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -8.37%E -4.18%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 01:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -1.38%E -0.760%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -8.37%E -4.18%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 01:59
Bally Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -1.38%E -0.760%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -8.37%E -4.18%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 01:59
betPARX🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -1.38%E -0.760%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -8.37%E -4.18%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 01:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -1.38%E -0.760%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -8.37%E -4.18%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 01:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -1.38%E -0.760%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -8.37%E -4.18%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 01:59
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.47%E -1.37%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -3.79%E -1.80%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-23 01:48
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.47%E -1.37%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.08%E -2.97%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-23 01:59
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.47%E -1.37%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.37%E -4.18%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-23 02:00
Neds🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.55%E -2.00%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.08%E -2.97%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 01:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.55%E -2.00%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.08%E -2.97%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 02:00
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.09%E -2.31%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.79%E -1.80%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-23 01:59
GTbets🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.09%E -2.31%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.79%E -1.80%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-23 02:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.09%E -2.31%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.79%E -1.80%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-23 01:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.09%E -2.31%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.79%E -1.80%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-23 01:59
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.09%E -2.31%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.79%E -1.80%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-23 01:59
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.09%E -2.31%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.79%E -1.80%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-23 01:59
BetAnything🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.09%E -2.31%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.79%E -1.80%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-23 01:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.09%E -2.31%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.79%E -1.80%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-23 01:58
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.09%E -2.31%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.08%E -2.97%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 01:59
ReBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.63%E -2.63%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.70%E -2.26%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 02:00
Pinnacle🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -5.18%E -2.96%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -1.96%E -0.914%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-23 01:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.18%E -2.96%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.70%E -2.26%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-23 01:58
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.18%E -2.96%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.08%E -2.97%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 01:59
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -5.18%E -2.96%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -6.54%E -3.20%K -6.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 01:59
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -5.18%E -2.96%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -6.54%E -3.20%K -6.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 01:59
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.72%E -3.29%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.50%E -0.696%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-23 01:59
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.72%E -3.29%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.50%E -0.696%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-23 01:54
Bet Right🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.72%E -3.29%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.79%E -1.80%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 02:00
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.79%E -1.80%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-23 01:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.79%E -1.80%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-23 01:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.79%E -1.80%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-23 01:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.79%E -1.80%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-23 01:59
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -5.16%E -2.49%K -4.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 01:59
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.26%E -3.62%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.08%E -2.97%K -5.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 01:59
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.80%E -3.95%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.79%E -1.80%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 02:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -7.34%E -4.29%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -1.50%E -0.696%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 01:59
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.34%E -4.29%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -1.96%E -0.914%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-23 01:59
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.28%EV -7.34%E -4.29%K -10.34%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -10.66%E -5.47%K -11.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-23 01:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.38%EV -7.89%E -4.64%K -11.27%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.62%EV -14.33%E -7.66%K -16.47%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-23 01:59
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.51%E -5.70%K -14.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.79%E -1.80%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-23 01:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-05-23 01:59
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-05-23 02:00
ProphetX1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-05-23 02:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-05-23 01:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-05-23 02:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-05-23 02:00
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-05-23 01:59