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Seattle Storm v Chicago Sky
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Seattle Storm (Local)
Predicción 44.16%2.26momio equitativo
EV +2.46%
Ventaja +1.06%
Kelly +1.86%
Crecimiento +0.046%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.32
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.12%44.05%44.23%45.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.052.192.172.3248.78%45.77%46.19%43.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Chicago Sky (Visitante)
Predicción 55.84%1.79momio equitativo
EV -2.28%
Ventaja -1.30%
Kelly -3.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.55%55.95%55.77%58.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.551.691.691.7564.52%59.29%59.00%57.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Seattle Storm (Local): 44.16%; Chicago Sky (Visitante): 55.84%. Para Seattle Storm (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.26. 10 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.32, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.46%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV +2.46%E +1.06%K +1.86%G +0.046% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -9.54%E -5.89%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-11 02:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV +2.46%E +1.06%K +1.86%G +0.046% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -9.54%E -5.89%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-11 01:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV +2.46%E +1.06%K +1.86%G +0.046% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -9.54%E -5.89%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-11 02:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV +2.46%E +1.06%K +1.86%G +0.046% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -9.54%E -5.89%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-11 01:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV +2.46%E +1.06%K +1.86%G +0.046% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -9.54%E -5.89%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-11 02:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV +2.46%E +1.06%K +1.86%G +0.046% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -9.54%E -5.89%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-11 02:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV +2.46%E +1.06%K +1.86%G +0.046% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -9.54%E -5.89%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-11 02:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV +2.46%E +1.06%K +1.86%G +0.046% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -9.54%E -5.89%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-11 01:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV +1.57%E +0.683%K +1.21%G +0.019% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -10.10%E -6.27%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-11 01:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV +1.57%E +0.683%K +1.21%G +0.019% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -10.10%E -6.27%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-11 02:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -1.96%E -0.883%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -5.63%E -3.33%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-11 01:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -2.40%E -1.09%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -5.63%E -3.33%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-11 01:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%EV -2.84%E -1.29%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%EV -2.28%E -1.30%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-11 01:48 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%EV -2.84%E -1.29%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%EV -2.28%E -1.30%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-11 01:48 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.84%E -1.29%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.52%E -2.64%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-11 01:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.84%E -1.29%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.52%E -2.64%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-11 02:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.84%E -1.29%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.52%E -2.64%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-11 00:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.84%E -1.29%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.07%E -2.99%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-11 01:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.84%E -1.29%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.63%E -3.33%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-11 01:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.84%E -1.29%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.75%E -4.04%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 21:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.84%E -1.29%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.87%E -4.77%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-11 01:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -2.84%E -1.29%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -13.45%E -8.68%K -24.46%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-11 01:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99%EV -3.29%E -1.50%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -3.96%E -2.30%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-11 01:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -3.73%E -1.71%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -3.40%E -1.97%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-11 00:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.05%E -2.35%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.84%E -1.63%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-11 01:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.05%E -2.35%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.84%E -1.63%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-11 01:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.05%E -2.35%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.84%E -1.63%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-11 01:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.05%E -2.35%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.84%E -1.63%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-11 01:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.05%E -2.35%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.52%E -2.64%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 01:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.05%E -2.35%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.52%E -2.64%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 01:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.05%E -2.35%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.63%E -3.33%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-11 02:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.05%E -2.35%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.75%E -4.04%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-11 02:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.05%E -2.35%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.75%E -4.04%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-11 01:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.49%E -2.57%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.52%E -2.64%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-11 01:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.38%E -3.01%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.96%E -2.30%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 02:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -6.38%E -3.01%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.07%E -2.99%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-11 01:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -6.38%E -3.01%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -6.19%E -3.69%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-11 00:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -6.38%E -3.01%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -6.19%E -3.69%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-11 00:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.26%E -3.46%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.28%E -1.30%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-10 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.26%E -3.46%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.28%E -1.30%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-10 18:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.26%E -3.46%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.84%E -1.63%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-10 18:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.26%E -3.46%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.40%E -1.97%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-10 19:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.26%E -3.46%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.40%E -1.97%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-10 19:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.26%E -3.46%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.40%E -1.97%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-10 18:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.26%E -3.46%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.96%E -2.30%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-11 01:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.26%E -3.46%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.75%E -4.04%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-11 01:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.26%E -3.46%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.75%E -4.04%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-11 00:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -9.47%E -4.62%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -6.75%E -4.04%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-11 01:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72% | 0.8% | 2026-08-11 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72% | 0.8% | 2026-08-11 02:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-08-10 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86% | 1.1% | 2026-08-11 02:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86% | 1.1% | 2026-08-11 02:00 |
| Novig◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64% | 1.5% | 2026-08-11 02:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42% | 2.0% | 2026-08-11 02:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92% | 2.2% | 2026-08-11 02:00 |