L’École des cotes

Seattle Storm v Atlanta Dream

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-28 01:00 UTC

Score final : Seattle Storm 105–90 Atlanta Dream

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Seattle Storm (Local)

Prévision 24.33%4.11cote équitable
EV +11.90%
Avantage +2.59%
Kelly +3.31%
Croissance +0.393%

avec la cote maximale 4.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.96%24.21%24.28%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.934.004.6028.57%25.47%25.00%21.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Atlanta Dream (Visiteur)

Prévision 75.67%1.32cote équitable
EV -2.38%
Avantage -1.85%
Kelly -8.21%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.29

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
73.68%75.79%75.72%79.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.191.261.251.2984.03%79.59%80.00%77.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Bet Victor4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV +11.90%E +2.59%K +3.31%G +0.393%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -7.68%E -6.29%K -34.90%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-28 00:50
Caesars4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +2.17%E +0.516%K +0.678%G +0.015%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -6.16%E -4.97%K -25.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-28 00:50
DraftKings4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -0.264%E -0.064%K -0.085%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-28 00:50
BetAnything4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -1.48%E -0.365%K -0.485%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -4.65%E -3.69%K -17.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-28 00:50
Bovada4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -1.48%E -0.365%K -0.485%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -6.16%E -4.97%K -25.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 00:48
BetOnline.ag4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -1.97%E -0.488%K -0.649%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -4.65%E -3.69%K -17.89%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-28 00:50
LowVig.ag4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -1.97%E -0.488%K -0.649%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -4.65%E -3.69%K -17.89%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-28 00:49
BetMGM4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -2.70%E -0.674%K -0.899%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.89%E -3.07%K -14.42%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-27 21:39
BetUS4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -2.70%E -0.674%K -0.899%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.65%E -3.69%K -17.89%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-28 00:50
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.70%E -0.674%K -0.899%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 00:20
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.70%E -0.674%K -0.899%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 00:30
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.70%E -0.674%K -0.899%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 00:30
BetRivers4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.70%E -0.674%K -0.899%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 00:50
TABtouch4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.70%E -0.674%K -0.899%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 00:49
Unibet (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.70%E -0.674%K -0.899%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 00:49
Unibet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.70%E -0.674%K -0.899%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 00:49
LeoVegas (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.70%E -0.674%K -0.899%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 00:50
LeoVegas4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.70%E -0.674%K -0.899%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 00:49
Unibet (NL)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.70%E -0.674%K -0.899%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 00:49
Bally Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.70%E -0.674%K -0.899%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 00:49
Svenska Spel4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.70%E -0.674%K -0.899%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 00:49
ATG (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.70%E -0.674%K -0.899%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 00:50
betPARX4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.70%E -0.674%K -0.899%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 00:50
Pinnacle3.99I 25.06%NM 24.14%EV -2.94%E -0.737%K -0.983%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.86%EV -3.89%E -3.07%K -14.42%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-28 00:50
GTbets3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -3.91%E -0.991%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.89%E -3.07%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-28 00:49
Fanatics3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -5.13%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.89%E -3.07%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-27 23:20
FanDuel3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.13%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.65%E -3.69%K -17.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 00:50
Betr (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.13%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.65%E -3.69%K -17.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 00:20
Bet Right3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.35%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.65%E -3.69%K -17.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 00:19
SportsBet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.35%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-27 23:00
PMU (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -6.35%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 76.39%EV -9.95%E -8.36%K -52.36%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-28 00:49
Neds3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -7.56%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.14%E -2.45%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-27 21:39
Ladbrokes (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -7.56%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.14%E -2.45%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-27 21:39
Unibet (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.56%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.89%E -3.07%K -14.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 00:09
ReBet3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.56%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.89%E -3.07%K -14.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 00:10
MyBookie.ag3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.56%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.89%E -3.07%K -14.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 00:18
TAB3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.56%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.65%E -3.69%K -17.89%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-28 00:09
Coolbet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.56%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-28 00:29
Betway3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -8.78%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.38%E -1.85%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-27 21:29
Hard Rock Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.78%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.89%E -3.07%K -14.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 21:29
BoyleSports3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.78%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-28 00:09
theScore Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -9.99%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -2.38%E -1.85%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-28 00:40
NordicBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -9.99%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -4.65%E -3.69%K -17.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-27 21:29
Betsson3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -9.99%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -4.65%E -3.69%K -17.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-27 21:29
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -14.86%E -4.25%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -5.41%E -4.33%K -21.63%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-27 21:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%0.2%2026-06-28 00:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%0.2%2026-06-28 00:50
Matchbook4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%0.2%2026-06-28 00:50
ProphetX4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-06-28 00:50
Kalshi4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23%0.9%2026-06-27 23:40
Polymarket4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26%1.1%2026-06-28 00:40
Novig4.08I 24.51%NM 24.16%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.84%1.4%2026-06-28 00:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60%1.5%2026-06-28 00:39