Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Portland Fire v Minnesota Lynx

Início: 2026-08-13 02:03 UTC

Final: Portland Fire 81–85 Minnesota Lynx

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Portland Fire (Local)

Previsão 15.08%6.63odd justa
EV +5.53%
Vantagem +0.790%
Kelly +0.922%
Crescimento +0.051%

pressupondo odds máximas de 7.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
13.69%15.02%15.01%18.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.006.266.347.0020.00%15.97%15.77%14.29%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Minnesota Lynx (Visitante)

Previsão 84.92%1.18odd justa
EV -3.19%
Vantagem -2.80%
Kelly -22.76%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.14

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
81.70%84.98%84.99%86.31%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.081.121.121.1492.59%89.23%89.29%87.72%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Portland Fire (Local): 15.08%; Minnesota Lynx (Visitante): 84.92%. Para Portland Fire (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 6.63. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 7.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +5.53%.

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
BetMGM🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +5.53%E +0.790%K +0.922%G +0.051%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -5.73%E -5.17%K -52.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-13 01:59
Bet Victor🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.45%EV +1.76%E +0.261%K +0.307%G +0.005%1.14I 87.72%NM 85.55%EV -3.19%E -2.80%K -22.76%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-13 01:49
betano_uk🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.45%EV +1.76%E +0.261%K +0.307%G +0.005%1.14I 87.72%NM 85.55%EV -3.19%E -2.80%K -22.76%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-13 01:48
Fanatics🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV +1.76%E +0.261%K +0.307%G +0.005%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.89%E -4.36%K -40.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-13 01:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -0.499%E -0.076%K -0.089%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -5.73%E -5.17%K -52.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-13 02:00
Neds🎯6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -0.499%E -0.076%K -0.089%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -5.73%E -5.17%K -52.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-13 02:00
Fliff🎯6.55I 15.27%NM 14.49%EV -1.25%E -0.191%K -0.226%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.51%EV -5.73%E -5.17%K -52.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 01:59
Unibet (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV -2.01%E -0.309%K -0.365%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -4.04%E -3.57%K -31.04%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-13 01:59
DraftKings🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.01%E -0.309%K -0.365%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.89%E -4.36%K -40.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 01:40
Caesars🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -2.01%E -0.309%K -0.365%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.89%E -4.36%K -40.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-13 01:44
theScore Bet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.01%E -0.309%K -0.365%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.73%E -5.17%K -52.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-12 20:05
GTbets🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV -3.51%E -0.549%K -0.651%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -4.04%E -3.57%K -31.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-13 01:50
Unibet🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -3.51%E -0.549%K -0.651%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.89%E -4.36%K -40.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-13 01:50
TABtouch🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -3.51%E -0.549%K -0.651%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.89%E -4.36%K -40.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-13 01:50
Unibet (NL)🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -3.51%E -0.549%K -0.651%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.89%E -4.36%K -40.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-13 01:50
BetRivers🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -3.51%E -0.549%K -0.651%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.89%E -4.36%K -40.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-13 01:55
Unibet (SE)🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -3.51%E -0.549%K -0.651%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.89%E -4.36%K -40.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-13 01:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -3.51%E -0.549%K -0.651%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.89%E -4.36%K -40.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-13 01:50
Svenska Spel🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -3.51%E -0.549%K -0.651%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.89%E -4.36%K -40.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-13 01:50
betPARX🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -3.51%E -0.549%K -0.651%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.89%E -4.36%K -40.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-13 01:50
Bally Bet🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -3.51%E -0.549%K -0.651%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.89%E -4.36%K -40.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-13 01:50
ATG (SE)🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -3.51%E -0.549%K -0.651%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.89%E -4.36%K -40.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-13 01:50
LowVig.ag🎯6.34I 15.77%NM 15.13%EV -4.42%E -0.697%K -0.827%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.87%EV -4.04%E -3.57%K -31.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-13 01:50
BetOnline.ag🎯6.34I 15.77%NM 15.13%EV -4.42%E -0.697%K -0.827%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.87%EV -4.04%E -3.57%K -31.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-13 01:49
Bet Right🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -5.78%E -0.924%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.89%E -4.36%K -40.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 22:44
Betr (AU)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -5.78%E -0.924%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.89%E -4.36%K -40.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 22:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -5.78%E -0.924%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.89%E -4.36%K -40.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 17:29
Bovada🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -5.78%E -0.924%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.89%E -4.36%K -40.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 01:49
Pinnacle🎯6.23I 16.05%NM 15.47%EV -6.08%E -0.975%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.53%EV -3.19%E -2.80%K -22.76%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-13 01:50
BetUS🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV -6.53%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%EV -4.04%E -3.57%K -31.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-13 01:50
BetAnything🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV -6.53%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%EV -4.04%E -3.57%K -31.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-13 01:45
FanDuel🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -6.53%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -4.89%E -4.36%K -40.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 01:59
MyBookie.ag🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -9.54%E -1.59%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.04%E -3.57%K -31.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-13 01:59
888sport🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -9.54%E -1.59%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.89%E -4.36%K -40.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-12 17:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -9.54%E -1.59%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.89%E -4.36%K -40.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-12 17:20
888sport (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -9.54%E -1.59%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.89%E -4.36%K -40.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-12 17:15
Coolbet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -9.54%E -1.59%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.89%E -4.36%K -40.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-12 16:55
Betway🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -9.54%E -1.59%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.89%E -4.36%K -40.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-13 02:00
NordicBet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -9.54%E -1.59%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.73%E -5.17%K -52.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-12 20:44
Betsson🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -9.54%E -1.59%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.73%E -5.17%K -52.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-13 01:54
BoyleSports🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -9.54%E -1.59%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.73%E -5.17%K -52.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-12 08:55
PMU (FR)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -9.54%E -1.59%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 84.75%EV -8.28%E -7.67%K -103.53%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-13 01:50
TAB🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -12.56%E -2.17%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -4.04%E -3.57%K -31.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-13 01:59
SportsBet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -13.31%E -2.32%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.04%E -3.57%K -31.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-13 01:40
Paddy Power🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -17.08%E -3.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.89%E -4.36%K -40.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-13 01:40
LeoVegas🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -24.62%E -4.92%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -4.89%E -4.36%K -40.71%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-13 01:44
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%0.9%2026-08-13 00:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%0.9%2026-08-13 00:35
Kalshi◎7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87%1.15I 86.96%NM 86.13%1.0%2026-08-13 01:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎7.00I 14.29%NM 14.11%1.15I 86.96%NM 85.89%1.2%2026-08-13 02:00
Matchbook◎7.00I 14.29%NM 14.11%1.15I 86.96%NM 85.89%1.2%2026-08-13 02:00
ProphetX◎6.90I 14.49%NM 14.29%1.15I 86.96%NM 85.71%1.4%2026-08-13 02:00
Novig◎6.90I 14.49%NM 14.18%1.14I 87.72%NM 85.82%2.2%2026-08-13 02:00